ok enough on the events back to the investments + the elephant in the room
valuations are too high. so much has become uninvestable at the advertised fdvs
this is how i am thinking about it:
1. size down - if the valuations are not going to come down (maybe because they are driven up by all of these funds that have so much money to deploy that they aren't discerning enough on fdv) + i still want exposure, then sizing down is my only option
2. close the book - the best option in most cases tbh - a challenging aspect of this cycle is that you could have been right on product/team but wrong because valuation was too high. fdv is NOT a meme. need to be super disciplined here. on reflection some of my best 'trades' this cycle (whether as an investor or as a cofounder of the media company) has been saying no. no is an action. it is a decisive decision. and probably 9 times out of ten it is the right one. something i learned fast is there should be no ego/glory in being an 'angel'
3. founder focused - in this difficult market where revenue is top priority i think leaning heavily on the human behind the project is right. do you think they have it in them to figure it out? do you have a personal relationship with them so they value your contribution or are you just one of many? are they savvy operators who are making money and have they shown they can pivot to find additional/new revenue streams? probably only one founder who i feel like that about right now
4. revenue generating priority - hyperliquid, pendle, ethena - protocols that MAKE MONEY. it should not be controversial that protocols which make money will be more valuable than those which do not. laser focused on money making protocols
5. community vs vcs - i am willing to bet that the megaeth style raise (fluffle holder) where community were included to a larger extent will lead to a better outcome than the Nth vc style raise for more infra that doesn't have enough users/builders/revenue.
6. too huge to ignore - i have spoken about it a hundred times already - so much so that aixbt has picked me up on it - but plasma the stablecoin blockchain backed by tether is so huge that i think it would be wise to get exposure in whatever way possible (see previous posts on structural demand created for usdt via ethena, usdt transfer fees going to 0 etc)
some of these factors conflict with each other, so ultimately got to think through each investment on their merits and on different planes
final take
airdrop farmers get a bad rep for being 'extractive' but i have a more charitable + optimistic view, especially in this market
(i) airdrop farming is just investing post raise; it is simple capital allocation towards a project which you believe will generate a better return on your capital than something else
(ii) in this market, if you are bullish on a project but not on its valuation at raise, it is arguably better to say no to the raise and just provide liquidity to the protocol in size - you take no risk on the valuation it comes out this way, you only risk less expected yield (nb smart contract risk too)

@FilTom42 @PlasmaFDN @ethena_labs @aixbt_agent no, they are complementary
see this
very interesting partnership between ethena and plasma
i had thought (incorrectly) that because plasma is so heavily backed by tether that it would want to shut out other “stablecoins”
the reason why it does not shut out ethena is because
(i) ethena is not a “stablecoin”, it is a synthetic dollar and
(ii) ethena allows usde holders to access the basis/carry trade, of which around “70% of perpetual swap volume is denominated in USD₮”
so it is actually mutually beneficial for ethena + plasma to work together, as ethena needs tether on the other side of trade, and ethena creates structural demand for usdt
will want to send a lottt of usde and/or usdt over to this when mainnet is ready
13,76 N
0
Nội dung trên trang này được cung cấp bởi các bên thứ ba. Trừ khi có quy định khác, OKX không phải là tác giả của bài viết được trích dẫn và không tuyên bố bất kỳ bản quyền nào trong các tài liệu. Nội dung được cung cấp chỉ nhằm mục đích thông tin và không thể hiện quan điểm của OKX. Nội dung này không nhằm chứng thực dưới bất kỳ hình thức nào và không được coi là lời khuyên đầu tư hoặc lời chào mời mua bán tài sản kỹ thuật số. Việc sử dụng AI nhằm cung cấp nội dung tóm tắt hoặc thông tin khác, nội dung do AI tạo ra có thể không chính xác hoặc không nhất quán. Vui lòng đọc bài viết trong liên kết để biết thêm chi tiết và thông tin. OKX không chịu trách nhiệm về nội dung được lưu trữ trên trang web của bên thứ ba. Việc nắm giữ tài sản kỹ thuật số, bao gồm stablecoin và NFT, có độ rủi ro cao và có thể biến động rất lớn. Bạn phải cân nhắc kỹ lưỡng xem việc giao dịch hoặc nắm giữ tài sản kỹ thuật số có phù hợp hay không dựa trên tình hình tài chính của bạn.

