đ Are DeFi options on @Base outperforming Ethereum?
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New quantitative research analyzes the price, implied volatility, and bearish/bullish strategies across Ethereum and Base revealing surprising insights:
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đ§ ETH/USDC Pool Price
âą Minute-level analysis shows frequent dislocations between Base and Ethereum prices and deviations of up to $150 USDC in either direction.
âą These deviations were transient and often clustered during volatility events.
âą Likely drivers: sequencer delays, cross-chain latency, and JIT liquidity provisioning on Base.
â These dislocations present short-lived arbitrage opportunities for high-frequency or cross-chain traders.
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đĄïž Implied Volatility (IV) Findings
âą Ethereum exhibited sharper IV spikes, particularly mid-2024 â consistent with deeper liquidity and speculative flows.
âą Base showed a slightly higher baseline IV but with smoother and more stable behavior.
âą The IV spread (Base â Ethereum) hovered slightly above zero on average, confirming Base tends to price in more persistent tail risk.
âą Large negative IV spreads (â100 IV pts) appeared during Ethereum IV surgesâideal windows for cross-chain vol trades.
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â Trading edge: short Ethereum vol during spikes, long Base vol during low-IV periods.
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đ§ Strategy Results
âą Short Calls: Outperformed with +17.65% on Base and +14.76% on Ethereum; benefited from high IV and low realized volatility.
âą Long Calls: Underperformed with â18.06% on Base and â14.76% on Ethereum; premium drag outweighed limited upside.
âą Long Puts: Best-performing strategy; returned +17.58% on Ethereum vs. +13.42% on Base despite identical payoffsâreflecting Ethereumâs cheaper IV.
âą Short Puts: Negative returns (â17.58% ETH, â13.42% Base), but Baseâs higher premia helped cushion downside.
#DeFi #Ethereum #Base #QuantResearch #CryptoOptions #Panoptic #IV #Volatility #Arbitrage




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