Cette page est uniquement destinée à des fins d'information. Certains services et fonctionnalités peuvent ne pas être disponibles dans votre juridiction.

Crypto Derivatives 27 May 2025

Keep up with the latest in crypto market commentary as we share the insights from our institutional research partners.

In this edition, we share the latest crypto derivatives weekly from Block Scholes.

Since breaking to new all-time highs last week on the back of advancements in the regulatory landscape (particularly for crypto stablecoins) BTC has since traded within a range of $111K (the new record high) and $107K. Despite spot price being unable to hold the new high for long, derivatives markets remain optimistic – all three measures of directional sentiment, although less bullish than in the run up to $111K, remain positive. Short-tenor volatility smile skews are tilted towards OTM calls by as much as 5%, funding rates are still positive and the futures yield for the 1-month tenor remains above 7%. ETH derivatives markets carry less of that optimism – perp funding rates are currently sub-zero, and ETH volatility smile skews are less skewed towards call options, though not yet tilted towards puts.

ATM Implied Volatility, 1-Month Tenor

F1 OKX Currency-Combined-1M-ATM-VOL-ETH

BTC Options

F2 BTC SVI Vol term structure

BTC SVI ATM Implied Volatility

F3 OKX BTC SVI ATM volatility

Short-term vol expectations dropped following the ATH, and rose again on US-EU tariff talks on Sunday May 25.

BTC 25-Delta Risk Reversal

F4 OKX BTC SVI PC skew

Short-tenor smiles still favour OTM calls, though to a lesser extent than when BTC first broke January’s $109K high.

ETH Options

F5 ETH SVI Vol term structure

ETH SVI ATM Implied Volatility

F6 OKX ETH SVI ATM volatility

Short tenor options carry a 4 point vol premium to longer-tenor options, compared to BTC’s steeper slope.

ETH 25-Delta Risk Reversal

F7 OKX ETH SVI PC skew

ETH’s skew is far below its May high, when spot rallied over 50% in a single-week, but 7-day options skewed towards OTM calls by more than 4%.

Market Composite Volatility Surface

F8 okx snap BTC SMILES.moneyness
F9 okx snap ETH SMILES.moneyness

Listed Expiry Volatility Smiles

F10 BTC BTC-27JUN25 Listed Expiry
F11 ETH ETH-27JUN25 Listed Expiry

Constant Maturity Volatility Smiles

F12 BTC-SVI Constant Maturity
F13 ETH-SVI Constant Maturity

The information provided in this document by Block Scholes Ltd is for informational purposes only and does not necessarily represent the views of OKX. Any additional disclaimers issued by these third parties are also applicable and should be considered as part of this document.

This report is not intended as financial advice, investment recommendation, or an endorsement of specific trading strategies. The contents of this report, including but not limited to any graphs, charts, and numerical data, are provided “as is” without warranty of any kind, express or implied. The warranties disclaimed include but are not limited to performance, merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, accuracy, omissions, completeness, currentness, and delays.

The cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable, subject to substantial market risks including significant price fluctuations. The strategies, opinions, and analyses included are based on information available at the time of writing and may change without notice. They are also based on certain assumptions and historical data that may not be accurate or applicable in the future. Therefore, reliance on this report for the purpose of making investment decisions is at your own risk.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any data or information contained in this report. We are not responsible for any losses or damages arising from the use of this report, including but not limited to, lost profits or investment losses.

Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The inclusion of any specific cryptocurrencies or trading strategies does not constitute an endorsement or recommendation by OKX.

Avis de non-responsabilité
Ce contenu est uniquement fourni à titre d’information et peut concerner des produits indisponibles dans votre région. Il n’est pas destiné à fournir (i) un conseil en investissement ou une recommandation d’investissement ; (ii) une offre ou une sollicitation d’achat, de vente ou de détention de cryptos/d’actifs numériques ; ou (iii) un conseil financier, comptable, juridique ou fiscal. La détention d’actifs numérique, y compris les stablecoins et les NFT, comporte un degré élevé de risque, et ces derniers peuvent fluctuer considérablement. Évaluez attentivement votre situation financière pour déterminer si vous êtes en mesure de détenir des cryptos/actifs numériques ou de vous livrer à des activités de trading. Demandez conseil auprès de votre expert juridique, fiscal ou en investissement pour toute question portant sur votre situation personnelle. Les informations (y compris les données sur les marchés, les analyses de données et les informations statistiques, le cas échéant) exposées dans la présente publication sont fournies à titre d’information générale uniquement. Bien que toutes les précautions raisonnables aient été prises lors de la préparation des présents graphiques et données, nous n’assumons aucune responsabilité quant aux erreurs relatives à des faits ou à des omissions exprimées aux présentes.

© 2025 OKX. Le présent article peut être reproduit ou distribué intégralement, ou des extraits de 100 mots ou moins du présent article peuvent être utilisés, à condition que ledit usage ne soit pas commercial. Toute reproduction ou distribution de l’intégralité de l’article doit également indiquer de manière évidente : « Cet article est © 2025 OKX et est utilisé avec autorisation. » Les extraits autorisés doivent être liés au nom de l’article et comporter l’attribution suivante : « Nom de l’article, [nom de l’auteur le cas échéant], © 2025 OKX. » Aucune œuvre dérivée ou autre utilisation de cet article n’est autorisée.

Articles connexes

Afficher plus
1 10x Research 1200x628
Research
Institutional news

The MiCA Effect: Euro Stablecoins Take Center Stage

Welcome back to our Institutional Top of Mind with 10x Research , with the kick-off of our Macro Shifts series examining the forces reshaping the crypto landscape in 2025. Each analysis offers institutional investors a data-driven perspective on the regulatory environment, political influences, market infrastructure development, and macroeconomic drivers that matter most. Join us as we analyze these macro shifts through an institutional lens, providing deeper insights for sophisticated market participants navigating this rapidly evolving space.
29 mai 2025
2
Top of Mind Banner_Learn_Oct23
Bitcoin
Data indicators
Industry news

Institutional top of mind | #6

Keep up with the top industry updates as we present bi-weekly market insights that are important to traders in the institutional space. In this week's edition, Kelvin Lam, CFA, Head of Institutional Research for OKX, sheds light on a pressing concern: the recent geopolitical conflict triggering a "flight to safety" among traders, thereby potentially fueling a rally in Bitcoin.
27 mai 2025
5 10x Research 1600x900
Research
Institutional news

The Overlooked Catalyst Set to Ignite Bitcoin—and Why the Fed's Next Move Could Shock Markets

Welcome to our Institutional Top of Mind with 10x Research , with our Macro Shifts series examining the forces reshaping the crypto landscape in 2025. Each analysis offers institutional investors a data-driven perspective on the regulatory environment, political influences, market infrastructure development, and macroeconomic drivers that matter most. Join us as we analyze these macro shifts through an institutional lens, providing deeper insights for sophisticated market participants navigating this rapidly evolving space.
22 mai 2025
1
Block Scholes -Bl
Trading
Research

Crypto Derivatives 13 May 2025

Keep up with the latest in crypto market commentary as we share the insights from our institutional research partners. In this edition, we share the latest crypto derivatives weekly from Block Scholes .
15 mai 2025
Institutional Research Partner - Cumberland
Trading
Research

What We See in the Markets: A Return to Bull Market Dynamics?

Keep up with the latest in crypto research as we share the insights from leading institutional research players. In this edition, we share what Cumberland sees in the markets with Bitcoin breaking $100K as ETH surges 36%, signaling a potential return to 2021-style high-beta market dynamics while stablecoin infrastructure expands amid Meta and Stripe announcements.
13 mai 2025
Block Scholes -Bl
Trading
Research

Crypto Derivatives 6 May 2025

Keep up with the latest in crypto market commentary as we share the insights from our institutional research partners. In this edition, we share the latest crypto derivatives weekly from Block Scholes .
7 mai 2025
Afficher plus