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FED HOLDS - RATE CUT TRADE IS DEAD
Fed kept rates at 3.50%–3.75%. But Powell just killed the 2026 cut narrative.
▪️ Vote split 8-4, 3 dissents were HAWKISH
▪️ Powell staying as Governor till 2028
▪️ Warsh takes over as Chair after May 15
▪️ Inflation still running hot due to Iran war & oil prices
Markets now price:
▪️ 0% chance of a cut by Dec 2026
▪️ 44.5% odds of a HIKE by April 2027
Liquidity tailwind for BTC & Alts is fading.
Watch: DXY, 10Y yields, BTC liquidity zones.

Crypto Patel
🇺🇸 FOMC Decision Today - Powell's Last Dance
Schedule (ET):
🔹 Rate Decision → 2:00 PM
🔹 Powell Press Conference → 2:30 PM
🔹 IST → 11:30 PM / 12:00 AM
Expected: Rates HOLD at 3.50%–3.75% (third straight pause). 100% priced in.
Why it still matters:
This is Powell's final FOMC before Kevin Warsh takes over in May. No SEP this meeting → every word in the presser is the signal.
What to watch:
▪️ Tone on sticky inflation (CPI hot at 3.3%)
▪️ Energy shock from Iran war
▪️ Hints on June cut path
▪️ Powell's farewell guidance
Crypto Impact:
Hawkish tone → BTC/Alts dump
Dovish tilt → risk-on rally
Neutral → liquidity grab both sides
Volatility window: 2:00 – 3:30 PM ET. Tight stops. Don't fade the wick.

Miễn trừ trách nhiệm: Nội dung OKX Orbit chỉ để tham khảo. Tìm hiểu thêm
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