Orbit Post Sitemap
$ARB ARB whale data revealed! Bulls are all trapped, market reversal is right at the support level
After ARB surged and then pulled back, it is now in a correction and consolidation phase, with short-term moving averages on the daily chart forming resistance.
Whale position data is very insightful:
✅ Bull whales' cost is 0.153, currently deeply trapped, with only 19.18% in profit; a large amount of trapped chips are piled up above, so any rebound will face selling pressure from those trying to break even;
✅ Bear whales' average entry is 0.143, with over 75% of positions in profit, expecting to take profit and close positions.
This is a typical chip game market:
Two possible directions:
① Hold the key support: bears take profit and exit, triggering a price rebound, trapped bulls wait for self-rescue;
② Volume break below support: bulls collectively trigger stop losses, stop-loss cascade, continuing the downtrend.
Next, focus on whether the support level is effectively broken.
Risk warning: This is personal data analysis only and does not constitute trading advice. Virtual currency contracts carry extremely high risk. #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ 🎉Made it through! The SNDK short position withstood intense volatility and finally turned profitable.
During this period of SanDisk SNDK's rollercoaster market, shorts really felt like they were undergoing a trial.
The previous sharp rebound triggered a fierce short squeeze; many shorts couldn't bear the huge unrealized losses and chose to stop loss and exit.
The market everywhere talks about the storage super cycle being unstoppable, shorts have been crushed, and the short squeeze will continue.
At the peak of pressure, unrealized losses kept expanding,
Every day was a tug-of-war between "whether to stop loss and admit defeat" and "stick to your own judgment."
The hardest part wasn't the market falling, but that the entire market and public opinion seemed to be against you.
Many fell before dawn.
But we chose to endure the volatility and did not cut positions at the panic rebound highs.
Now the market has corrected, unrealized profits have finally turned positive, and the long ordeal has yielded results.
However, happiness aside, we must not be complacent.
This is only a phase victory, not the end.
The storage sector itself is extremely volatile, with supply logic controlled by big manufacturers limiting production to maintain prices on one side, optimistic AI demand expectations on the other, plus the Federal Reserve's interest rates hanging overhead. Next week's Fed meeting will be decisive, and another sharp reversal could come at any time.
Holding positions is never a trading method worth mindless imitation.
This time the profit came from a combination of judgment, luck, and position management.
Many times, holding positions until the end doesn't bring a correction but a liquidation.
Hold your positions, strictly set your exit plan,
Taking profits is never wrong. #Anthropic拟赴纳斯达克IPO $SNDK After Bitcoin finished the weekly candle, it started a small rebound. The first obvious signal is that the spot CVD has clearly improved and selling pressure has decreased. It has been consolidating near 76k for almost a month, and the accumulation phase could end at any time, eventually attempting to stabilize above 80k.
The overall expectation for this week might also be to go up first and then down. The specific pullback strength will be assessed step by step. Currently, a bullish divergence has appeared on the 1-hour chart. Any retracement today is a short-term buying opportunity. If the price decisively breaks below 76k, then the strategy should be reconsidered.Shein (00625.HK) was issued at HKD 48.56 on September 1st and broke below the issue price on the first day, with the market already pricing in negativity. The bearish case can be summarized as "the old engine has stalled, and the new engine has not yet ignited." Growth has clearly slowed: revenue growth rate dropped from 41.1% in 2023 to 8% in 2025, and only 1.1% in Q1 2026; net profit declined 38.7% year-on-year to USD 2.064 billion in 2025, and turned to a loss in Q1 this year. The foundation of the business model is being undermined by policy: the US will cancel tax exemption for small parcels under USD 800 in May 2025, and the EU will also cancel tax exemption for parcels under EUR 150 in July 2026. These two major markets account for nearly 60% of revenue, and the direct low-price advantage is gone. Valuation relies on a new story, but third-party mall revenue accounts for only 14.3%, while fulfillment costs account for nearly 48% of revenue, far from enough to replace the old engine. Competition is also intensifying: Temu's global share has caught up with Amazon, TikTok Shop is growing rapidly, continuously squeezing Shein's traffic strategy. Even based on 2025 profits, Shein's PE is about 13 times, seemingly lower than Inditex's 30 times, but profit decline and policy risks are not fully reflected, making it more like a value trap. Shein is a business with slowing growth, thinning profits, disappearing policy dividends, and an unfulfilled new story; valuation cuts may just be beginning. Recently, various positive and negative news have been flying everywhere, and the market feels like a loudspeaker. But stripping away the noise, the focus is on four sets of numbers: $BTC at 76K, $BTC at 2.45K, $SOL at the 100 mark, and BNB at 720-725.
Honestly, being bombarded by this news every day has made me a bit fatigued, even a little scared. Whenever I see good news, I want to chase it; whenever I see bad news, I want to run. I feel like a frightened bird.
After much reflection, I realized the root cause of being led by the market is that I trusted the news too much and ignored the price itself as verification. The people shouting trade calls aren’t responsible for profits or losses, but I have to pay with my own capital.
The market won’t change direction just because someone shouts louder; it only seriously confirms with gold and silver. The essence of trading is not prediction but response.
Last year, there was a period when I heavily bet on a piece of positive news and entered the market before the K-line confirmed, only to be repeatedly proven wrong. Later, I waited for the price to stabilize at a key level before acting. Although I earned less at the start, I never suffered the “hit from both sides” loss again. At that moment, I understood that waiting for confirmation is not slow, it’s steady.
Four coins, four lines. Hold them to see a rebound; break them to guard against risk. News is the wind, the K-line is the anchor.
Control your hands, watch the market. BTC holds 76K, ETH holds 2.45K, SOL holds 100, BNB looks to hold 720 for support. No predictions, just follow and let the price tell me right or wrong.
#特朗普接受新版伦理条款，CLARITY投票临近 With more ETF entry points, why am I paying more attention to liquidation? The SEC is soliciting opinions on new types of ETFs, indicating that compliant capital channels may continue to expand; but the documents also reveal that the Bitwise Dogecoin ETF has decided to liquidate, meaning product expansion does not equal every coin retaining buying interest. For $BTC and $ETH, a bullish outlook depends on ETF net inflows syncing with spot trading; if there is only expectation without incremental funds, it is easier to cash out after a rally. Next, focus on regulatory texts, net flows, and the relative strength of mainstream coins. #BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元 $UNI Originally planned to cut losses as a sacrifice, but the sacrifice didn't happen, and the meat cooked itself. When I opened the market this morning, honestly my hands were shaking, but when I checked my positions, hey, it was in the green, and quite tasty.
During the bottom consolidation, I kept repeating one thing: support hasn't broken, volume hasn't dissipated, and there are buyers below. Others are selling, I watch; others are cursing, I wait. The market is waited out, profits are held out, I've said this more than once.
Entered UNI at 5.722, current price 6.398, floating profit +589.82%. This trade was indeed tough in the early stage. For those who got on board and haven't moved much like me, today's gain must feel good, right?
In terms of operation, don't be greedy for the last bite. I took profits on 75% of the position first, moved the stop loss near the cost price for the remaining 25%, if it continues to rise let the profits run, but I won't accept too much pullback.
For those who haven't entered yet, listen to me: chasing highs now easily means chasing the peak, and the one who suffers is yourself. The market doesn't lack opportunities, it lacks patience. There are still structural moves ahead, don't rush, wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, I'll announce it first.
$XRP $ZEC $ETH's direction is stuck around 2,523: only by reclaiming it can we talk about a continued rebound; if it can't hold, it will remain just a back-and-forth fluctuation in the low range.
Public market data shows $ETH around 2,515, with an intraday low of 2,465 and a high of 2,523. The price is not far from the upper boundary, but confirmation has yet to appear.
I consider a close above and a pullback support at 2,523 as an upward trigger; if it rallies then falls back again toward 2,465, it indicates selling pressure still dominates, and the rebound should be downgraded.
From my personal market perspective, I do not chase gains before key resistance, nor guess bottoms before support. I wait until price, volume, and pullback align before switching from observation to action.
Would you wait for 2,523 to hold, or focus on support at 2,465?
This is only my personal market observation and does not constitute investment advice.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ OKX perpetual has only been online for 48 hours, and FLOCK has already dropped from the opening high of 0.0855 to the current 0.0676, a decline of -13.47%, with a trading volume still hanging at $154M — in other words, the whales are exiting actively, and retail investors are eagerly taking over.
This is not a "normal correction."
New coins often have a wave of emotional premium on the first day of listing, so a surge followed by a pullback is normal. But the problem with FLOCK is: it hit the high at launch, then continuously closed lower on the 4-hour chart, with no decrease in volume — indicating sustained selling pressure, not a pulsed dump.
Looking at the 4H chart: last night at 22:00, the candle's volume suddenly surged to 7.2 million (around the 0.085 price at that time), then the price started to gradually decline. This afternoon, volume surged again to 3.2 million, but the price only dropped by 0.002 — bulls and bears are battling around 0.068, and the direction is still undecided.
My judgment: the hype for the new coin has faded, and FLOCK is currently searching for a new support range. The $154M 24h trading volume shows the market's attention remains, but the short-term direction leans bearish.
Did you run away or bottom-fished? $FLOCK【Contract Strategy Essentials】Practical Matching of Leverage Multiples
Leverage is not about being bigger is better; it is a tool to match the drawdown you are willing to endure, not a switch to bet on direction.
Core three steps:
1. Calculate the real volatility: Bitcoin intraday 2-3% is common, Ethereum 3-5% is common, use this as an anchor rather than guessing randomly.
2. Leverage = Position ÷ Acceptable loss per trade ÷ Price volatility. Example: BTC willing to lose 2% per trade, intraday volatility 3%, then leverage × position ≤ 0.66.
3. Mainstream coins ≤ 5x, small coins ≤ 3x, beginners ≤ 2x, isolated margin mode preferred over cross margin.
Risk budget linkage:
• Single trade ≤ 3% of total position
• When leverage increases, position size is adjusted down simultaneously to ensure "leverage × position = risk budget" remains constant
• Track mark price instead of the latest price to avoid false liquidations caused by price spikes
Three red lines:
• Do not fully allocate in a single trade, keep at least 30% ammo
• Do not increase leverage before major volatility events
• Do not add positions and increase leverage while in floating losses
Remember: Leverage amplifies emotional fluctuations, not win rate. Win rate depends on position management and directional judgment; leverage only amplifies the outcome. #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ This week's market felt like a roller coaster. $BTC surged to 80500 then dropped back to 76750, $ETH fell from 2667 to 2480, and $ZEC cooled off from 1299 to 1096. ETFs continue to bleed, with the FOMC and CLARITY Act looming overhead, open interest remains high, and altcoins rotate as fast as a marquee.
Chasing longs on the left gets hit, chasing shorts on the right also gets hit. It feels like driving in thick fog—too scared to press the gas, afraid to brake and get rear-ended.
I thought the problem was the market was too weak, but I was wrong. The real problem isn’t the drop, it’s that no one knows which way to go. Capital is waiting—waiting for the FOMC, waiting for the legislation, waiting for a direction that can convince itself. Everyone is watching, no one wants to be the first to rush out.
I think in this kind of "direction undecided, two-way stabbing" market, the most expensive thing isn’t opportunity, it’s principal. The real winners aren’t those who guess the direction right, but those who can endure until the direction appears.
There was a week like this last year, BTC kept sweeping back and forth in a range. I heavily bet on a breakout, but both longs and shorts got stopped out, and my principal shrank by 30%. When the market really broke out later, I was out of ammo. That feeling of "seeing it right but not profiting" is worse than being wrong. From that day on, I understood: no breakout, no move.
This week isn’t without opportunity, it’s just that the direction isn’t confirmed. BTC eyes 76000, ETH eyes 2430, ZEC eyes 1040. If not broken, be patient; if a real breakout happens, then follow. In a choppy market, those who survive first have the right to talk about the next round.
Control leverage, don’t predict, just follow. Don’t act if key levels aren’t broken; enter only when real signals appear. Not losing this week is winning.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ $BTC September has always been the "cursed month" in the crypto world. Historically, the market often weakens or undergoes liquidity washouts during this month. This year seems no different, following the slow boil rhythm. Entering now feels like opening a blind box, but instead of surprises or thrills, it’s a mental torment.
1. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision is due at the end of the month. Everyone in the market has their own agenda, tugging between rate cuts and economic soft landing/hard landing scenarios. Big money is currently flowing into defensive assets or short-term U.S. Treasuries; the heat allocated to high-beta crypto assets is clearly not enough to be intense.
2. The capital flow into spot ETFs has been stagnant recently, lacking strong catalysts for large net inflows. Institutions tend to take vacations or reduce exposure during traditionally weak months like September.
Honestly, don’t always try to bottom-fish for the absolute lowest point in September. If you’re a believer in regular fixed-amount spot investing, just keep following the formula and keep buying at today’s price. Close the app, read a book, have some coffee, and focus your mind on life. But if you’re itching to use leverage to bet on whether the price will break out of the range today, I advise you to buy a good coffee and calm down—right now, the main players have more patience than anyone. Retail investors usually get their bullets worn down during these sideways periods until their mindset collapses, and then they get thrown off before the real direction emerges.
Today, Bitcoin is just a "spectator outside the game, insiders measuring blood pressure" situation. Expect nothing, get hurt less. Wait until the macro cards are revealed at month-end, or until volume-driven breakouts above or below the range occur. For now, it’s best to lie low.
I choose to continue dollar-cost averaging and set my desired buy prices to wait, no FOMO, no greed, no missing out #Anthropic plans to IPO on Nasdaq
The leader has something to say
Anthropic is heading to Nasdaq. The IPO is planned to be completed in October, with financing up to $100 billion and a valuation discussed at 2 trillion. Nvidia is negotiating a top anchor investment of $10 billion.
But CEO Dario Amodei also called for slowing down frontier model development, allowing third-party evaluation and safety governance to catch up, warning that more powerful intelligent agent clusters in the next 6 to 12 months could bring serious cyber risks. Sam Altman and Musk both expressed support. Trump opposed, saying the pace should not be slowed due to safety concerns.
The interesting part is that Anthropic is rushing the IPO while talking about safety. If safety governance truly becomes a moat, short-term product iteration and revenue realization will be delayed, which is pressure on the 2 trillion valuation. But in the long run, compliant AI giants will get more institutional funding.
For the crypto market, the AI capital attraction effect is still there, but the safety narrative may shift some funds toward the compliance track. Bitcoin still follows macro trends; the FOMC is the key event this week.
Holding over 76,700 long Bitcoin positions, stop loss at 74,500, first target 80,000 to 81,000. No heavy positions before FOMC, waiting for direction. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
The above analysis is time-sensitive; stop losses must be set on orders. Good luck.$BTC / $ETH
Sometimes the strongest signal isn't a huge breakout.
It's how an asset behaves when the market gets uncomfortable.
$BTC is holding around $77K while macro pressure is building ahead of the Fed meeting.
$ETH is sitting around $2.5K and still trying to prove that its recent strength wasn't just another short-term rotation.
That's what I'm watching.
Not just green candles.
I want to see which assets can absorb selling without completely losing structure.
Anyone can look strong when everything is going up.
The real information comes when the market gets tested.
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #AnthropicIPOOnNasdaq #TrumpAcceptsNewEthics BTC's modest gain looks more like selective demand than broad risk appetite. ETH and SOL are both lower over 24 hours, so the strength has limited breadth. My read: this is a Bitcoin-led market, with too little participation to call it a wider crypto recovery.
Not advice, just analysis.The 20x leveraged $BTC short position is still open, but the person has already reduced their position. The fatigue doesn't come from the direction, but from this kind of position management itself.
At 14, he used $3000 of red envelope money to invest in shipping stocks, which once grew to 300,000, then went to zero due to high leverage. Now on Hyperliquid, he holds the second largest short position, also holding SNDK and PONS.
From betting on a single asset to shorting three simultaneously, leverage has shifted from out of control to layered. This seems more like hedging judgment errors with position structure rather than a firm bearish stance.
Watch if he continues to reduce his $BTC short. If he reduces to a certain level and the price doesn't drop, then this round of bearish logic needs to be recalculated.
#BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元
#伊朗允许BTC与USDT外贸结算 #ZEC机构资金入场，高位杠杆开始出清 $BTC $SNDK Today, the overall crypto market shows a typical volatile pattern with large caps stable, small caps active, and mainstream coins relatively weak. Market volatility is converging, and all funds are waiting for major macroeconomic developments.
Bitcoin experienced slight fluctuations today, with the price steady above the 77,000 mark, showing extremely stable performance. Thanks to continuous spot fund support and high chip lock-in, BTC's resistance to decline is prominent, firmly holding the overall market bottom line without significant volatility, becoming the biggest safety cushion on the board.
Ethereum's performance is noticeably weaker than Bitcoin, facing continuous short-term pressure and increased volatility. As a high-leverage elastic asset, ETH is more affected by liquidation events, with repeated spikes and washouts on the chart, frequent long-short turnovers, and no clear short-term trend, mainly undergoing range-bound consolidation.
The biggest feature of the current market is the rapid rotation of funds. Mainstream coins lack profit-making effects, causing active funds to flee, flocking to small-cap sentiment coins and hot speculative tokens for short-term trading. Localized rallies are hot but generally weak in sustainability, mostly one-day rotation trades.
On the macro front, previous CPI inflation stickiness exceeded expectations, and the Federal Reserve's high interest rate continuation expectations have intensified, still suppressing risk assets in the short term. The entire market is currently in a wait-and-see cycle, fully awaiting next week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision.
Overall, the current market is trendless and purely emotional and volatile. In terms of operations, avoid chasing highs with heavy positions; mainstream coins require patience to wait for a breakout direction, while small caps are only suitable for light, short-term arbitrage, with a focus on stability. $BTC $ETH $ZEC $BTC $ETH Tonight I lean more towards: BTC is oscillating weakly, ETH is weaker than BTC, and altcoins are increasingly diverging.
The real big event of this week hasn't started yet—the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is approaching, and market expectations for a rate hike have clearly intensified. Pressure from the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields is returning to the market.
So tonight the focus is not on blindly chasing gains, but on observing:
BTC: A rebound without volume is easily pressured again; if key support is lost, a rapid downward move may occur.
ETH: Relatively weaker than BTC; if funds continue to seek safety, pressure on ETH and altcoins may become more obvious.
Altcoins: In a highly volatile market, those that rise quickly may fall even faster; beware of sudden sharp drops.
My approach tonight:
First watch for oscillation → then wait for direction → follow the breakout.
Don't be fooled by a single candlestick.
What really deserves caution is not the decline itself,
but the market appearing calm while brewing a big wave of volatility.$ETH's direction is stuck around 2,523: only by reclaiming it can we talk about a continuation of the rebound; if it can't hold, it will remain just a back-and-forth fluctuation in the low range. Public market data shows $ETH around 2,515, with an intraday low of 2,465 and a high of 2,523. The price is not far from the upper boundary, but confirmation has yet to appear.
I will regard a close above and a pullback support at 2,523 as an upward trigger; if it rallies then falls back again toward 2,465, it indicates selling pressure still dominates, and the rebound should be downgraded in expectation.
From my personal market perspective, I do not chase gains before key resistance, nor guess bottoms before support. Only when price, volume, and pullback align in the same direction is it worth switching from observation to action.
Would you wait for 2,523 to hold first, or focus on the support at 2,465? This is purely my personal market observation and does not constitute investment advice. September 15 is being packaged by the market as the "final vote" on US crypto regulation, but the actual procedure is not like that.
On that day, the Senate is handling the cloture motion for the CLARITY Act, which requires 60 votes to allow the bill to proceed, but this does not equal final legislation.
What is truly underestimated is the second track: the SEC has already proposed Regulation Crypto Assets, setting a maximum $5 million exemption for startup issuance, a maximum $75 million exemption for financing, and a conditional safe harbor.
Therefore, current data more strongly supports that US crypto regulation is advancing on a dual track of "Congressional legislation + SEC rules," rather than relying solely on a single 60-vote decision.
The most important subsequent validation variables are whether the cloture passes and which key amendment comments the SEC proposal receives before October 20.First, let's look at the mismatch between funds and positions: The spot Ethereum ETF saw a net inflow of $216 million on September 11, indicating that money is indeed flowing back. However, as the Federal Reserve's rate decision window approached from September 15 to 16, inflation and oil prices pushed up rate hike expectations, causing prices to be repeatedly pulled back and forth. $ETH rebounded from 2460, with resistance levels first at 2534 and 2566. If it falls below 2480, it may retest 2460. Some traders still hold 60 short contracts with a cost basis of 2359, an unrealized loss of 8658U, and a liquidation price at 2718, indicating that leveraged positions remain sensitive to upside risk. $BEAT's trading volume shrank by 70.9% compared to the previous day, approaching the historical low of 0.0679. Oversold conditions may lead to a rebound, but a low-volume recovery does not equal a reversal. $SNDK closed at 1633.35 on September 11, down nearly 10% from this week's high of 1807. The positive news of its inclusion in the S&P 100 on September 21 has been partially priced in. The current support is at 1600, with resistance between 1735 and 1800. Risk warning: Volatility will be intense around the rate decision and data windows, so leveraged positions must strictly control liquidation distances. 13.46 million USD short position on SNDK, 10x leverage, still increasing over the weekend.
PONS also holds 3.62 million, 3x leverage. Same hands, same direction.
Those who have been burned by this kind of position don’t admire it at first glance. That 3,000 USD red envelope at age 14 once grew to 300,000, then high leverage wiped it out—he’s played this script himself.
Now Hyperliquid’s second largest short position, $BTC still has 81.52 million, 20x leverage. Reduced by 49 coins this morning, seems like repositioning.
The bigger the position, the smaller the margin for error. He knows better than anyone what zeroing out looks like, yet still pulls leverage to this level.
Better to wait for him to reduce his position than for a liquidation message.
#BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元
#伊朗允许BTC与USDT外贸结算 #ZEC机构资金入场，高位杠杆开始出清 $BTC $SNDK The most intense market rallies often appear only after everyone believes in the bull market🔥
There are still quite a few doubts in the market now, which is a good thing.
The truly dangerous phase: everyone in the group is profiting, casually buying coins that surge the next day, and newcomers think making money in crypto is easy.
The market shifts from investment and speculation to emotional hype, with wait-and-see funds rushing in at highs, while early holders take the opportunity to cash out.
Compared to all-out celebration, I prefer the current repeated fluctuations.
The most costly thing in crypto is not Bitcoin, but FOMO.
It makes you panic sell at lows and chase the price at highs.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ The SKHYNIX spike at 1438 only showed up after the weekend's pullback.
On the 9th, it touched 1438. On the 10th, it dropped to 1325, on the 11th the highest was 1387 but didn't break through, closing at 1366. On the 12th, the highest was 1374, the lowest 1331, closing at 1341. On the 13th, the lowest was 1283, closing at 1287. Today, the intraday low was 1264, the high 1297, current price around 1278. Volume is still there.
The range 1297-1387 has become the immediate resistance. If it breaks below 1264, it’s likely to see lower levels first.
In the short term, watch if 1278 can hold. If it can’t hold, treat it as a high-level consolidation and don’t chase at this price. For those already holding, watch if 1264 can support; if it can’t, consider reducing your position. $SKHYNIX CVC current price is 0.03142, with thin order book depth and widening bid-ask spread, showing no signs of major capital inflow. The 0.031 level is the lower edge of the previous dense chip area; after breaking below, the rebound is weak and volume continues to shrink, a typical weak consolidation. There is a cluster of trapped positions between 0.0335 and 0.0342 above, each rebound is pushed back down. Without any news stimulus, purely based on order book analysis, the bearish structure is not yet complete.
Just pushed open a crack in the security booth window, the wind is picking up outside, and the cup of herbal tea on the table is not finished yet.
In terms of operation, short directly near the current price of 0.03142, enter in batches between 0.0314 and 0.0318. Take profit first target at 0.0298, second target at 0.0285. Set stop loss at 0.0328; if it holds above this level, stop loss and exit. Leverage should not exceed five times, control position size well; this kind of low-volume gradual decline is very wearing, don't rush to add positions. The risk-reward ratio is close to 3:1, worth taking a shot.
$CVC
#OKX预言家：来星球玩预测
@OKX星球 $FLOCK Circulating supply 460 million tokens (increased 3.5 times) (No burn mechanism, no project revenue) Conclusion: Price dropped 87%, but market cap only dropped 52%. The difference was completely eaten up by dilution from unlocked tokens. This is extremely important in terms of chip distribution: the huge trapped volume above 0.6 is still there, facing a market where the circulating supply has expanded 3.5 times and the market cap grows by 61% annually. These chips are very unlikely to ever be freed. 🔍 On-chain concentration Holders: 102,925 But Top 100 addresses hold 100% of supply 😳 Top 5 alone hold 66.8% 97.8% are shrimp accounts 🦐 → Chips are not in retail hands, a few addresses decide life or death ⚠️ 🗺️ Chip map (by price range) 🔴 0.10–0.67 | Historical deep trap disaster area 💀 🫧 0.083-0.065 | Vacuum zone, no support ⚠️ 🟢 0.065–0.075 | Recent first dense area 🟢 0.035–0.055 | Long-term sediment, most solid ✅ 🫧 What is the vacuum zone 0.065→0.083 is a 7-day 126% rise pulled out No time to settle = no chips 🕳️ No resistance when rising, no support when falling It goes down the same way it went up 📉 🔓 Crypto-specific chips: unlocked tokens Only 46% circulated, 564 million locked 🔒 Daily unlock ~767,000 tokens (≈$4 @天才少女秋秋 The strongest judgment in this round isn't chasing rebounds and bullish rallies, but reminding traders that the market's expectation of "no rate hikes" has already been traded once; what's more important now is how deep the pullback can go and whether the position can hold. She is cautious about $BTC and $ETH, repeatedly emphasizing that $ZEC having the right direction doesn't mean holding on; leverage and stop-loss leverage determine the outcome. Let's look at the $BTC first. Qiuqiu believes Bitcoin has already risen around rate expectations, and if the meeting results only align with market consensus, it may not continue to rally unilaterally. She mentioned multiple times during livestreams that after negative or easing expectations are traded early, prices may show a trend where "news comes in but prices don't rise"; If the market continues to push down at the open, first observe whether the pullback can stop, rather than chasing in just because a single price rises. Her approach is to wait until the market digests expectations, then judge if there is a low consolidation, and before confirming, it's better to do less than equate "not raising rates" directly with a guaranteed rally. Qiuqiu's attitude toward $ETH operations is more bearish. She has repeatedly said she is still monitoring short positions, believing Ethereum's short-term rebound is limited. If the price returns to the previously densely traded area, bears will have a better profit-loss ratio; but she also admits that after increased volatility, adding positions too early can easily lead to repeated losses. During a livestream, someone asked if Ethereum could return to higher levels by year-end, but she did not provide a definite target, only emphasizing that the current market is more like a process of repeated oscillations and resetting direction, and long-term wishes should not be used as the basis for short-term tradingOriginally, I was prepared to take a loss, but it surprised me, which I'm not used to. When the screen was full of green, I saw $BEAT holding strong at a high level, with trading volume decreasing, no buyers stepping up, and the sell orders piling up thicker. The short position was opened at 0.1223, a very comfortable entry. High-level pressure is just high-level pressure.
Later, the high-level pressure finally eased, and the price dropped all the way to 0.0831. The $BEAT short position's floating profit reached +321.34%. It really felt great; this profit was satisfying. The previous fluctuations were not wasted, I nailed it.
I managed my position as planned: first, I closed 80% to pocket the profit, and for the remaining 20%, I set the protection level at the cost price. If it continues to drop, let the profit run; if it rebounds, don't let the gains turn uncomfortable. Take profits first, don't be greedy for the last bit. Don't let profits inflate, and don't despair over pullbacks.
Better to miss a limit-up than to catch a falling knife and end up bleeding.
Now is not the time to rush; chasing shorts can easily get caught in a rebound squeeze. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round. I'll watch for new structures to emerge and will notify immediately. If you miss it, don't chase; the market is not short of opportunities, but patience is what’s lacking. There are still opportunities, so don't rush. The market moves by waiting.
$DOGE $ZEC Crude oil surged 10% in one day, but the crypto token with the same name only followed by 0.54%: this fire didn’t spread over
Ridiculous, an hour ago crude oil futures soared 10%, at 891 per barrel, $SC only moved from 0.000922 to 0.000927, +0.54%.
The fire didn’t spread, the strategy is straightforward—reduce positions on rallies around 0.00099, no chasing highs.
On September 14, Shanghai crude oil main contract rose 10.00% intraday. The transmission is clear—oil prices feed high inflation, CPI year-on-year at 3.4%, FOMC meeting tomorrow, tightening will be tougher.
24h only +1.7%, volume ratio 0.581 shrinking volume. RSI 65.5 slightly strong, multi-period bullish, trend is there—but the small token with $45.1 million volume shrinks on the rally, pressure levels are getting hit hardest.
BTC currently at 77580, the market is stable.
Resistance above: 0.000954 (15m SAR flipped up) → 0.00099 (24h high)
Support below: 0.000834 (4h SAR) → 0.000682 (daily MA30)
Watershed level: 0.000834, break below and it’s a sell.
In a bullish market, small volume tokens rally first then take profits. Reduce half at 0.00099, clear all if it breaks 0.000834, buy back after stabilizing. Like and follow for more, off to watch the market.
$SC $BTCBrothers, BTC and ETH are shrinking volume and lying low before a critical juncture, but there's a strange phenomenon in the funding side
$BTC $77,600 | $ETH $2,516
Bitcoin rose slightly by 0.2% in 24 hours, rebounding from a low of $76,768 back near $77,600, still oscillating narrowly between $76,400 and $77,450, with volume shrinking to 356 BTC. Traders are generally cautious ahead of the September 16 FOMC. Ethereum is at $2,516, up slightly in 24 hours, having rebounded over 55% from the June low of $1,600, with a clear improvement in moving average structure
BTC ETFs saw outflows of $460 million, while ETH ETFs have attracted funds for four consecutive weeks
There is a rare divergence in funding. Bitcoin spot ETFs had a net outflow of $463 million last week, ending three consecutive weeks of net inflows, with ARKB and GBTC leading the sell-off. Meanwhile, Ethereum spot ETFs had a net inflow of $197 million last week, marking four consecutive weeks of net inflows, with BlackRock's ETHA contributing $140 million in a single week
In the past 24 hours, the entire network liquidated $278 million, with long positions liquidated at $196 million. ETH long liquidations led at $54.24 million, with the largest single liquidation on Binance valued at $4.46 million. The market is reducing high Beta exposure ahead of the FOMC, but institutional buying of ETH continues counter-trend
Discuss in the comments, can ETH's independent rally withstand the FOMC?
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
#特朗普接受新版伦理条款，CLARITY投票临近 Federal Reserve rate decision suspense: Will they raise rates or not? 🔥
August core CPI month-on-month 0.3% higher than expected, PPI strong, oil prices break 100, market probability of a 25bp rate hike reaches 86%, Goldman Sachs also revised its forecast to a rate hike.
The key point of market speculation is not whether to raise rates, but whether the result exceeds expectations:
✅ Raise rates by 25bp + signal to wait and see: negative factors digested in advance, BTC may dip then rebound, challenging 78500-80000
✅ Unexpected no rate hike: better than expected positive, shorts concentrated covering
⚠️ Rate hike + hint of another hike this year: continued negative, retesting 76000 or even 75000
The possibility of a rate hike is relatively high, but the post-meeting remarks are the key to stabilization. The first candlestick of the decision is often a smoke screen, do not judge bull or bear based on a single candlestick.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
#特朗普接受新版伦理条款，CLARITY投票临近
#ZEC机构资金入场，高位杠杆开始出清
$BTC $ETH $ZEC ETF FLOWS ARE DIVERGING
Altseason is unconfirmed, but ETF flows reveal a shift: institutional capital isn’t leaving crypto—it’s becoming more selective.
Week of Sep 7–11:
$BTC → -$462.73M
$ETH → +$197.11M
Notably, $BTC ended a 3-week inflow streak, while ETH attracted capital.
I’m watching:
$ETH, $BTC → ETF flows
When BTC ETF flows reverse while $ETH attracts capital, the story may not be “risk-off” — it could be capital rotation.
Don’t chase Altseason. Watch the money.$BTC Tomorrow is Super Wednesday — Fed rate hike + clear bill vote, two bombs exploding together. Saudi pipeline cut off, oil price surged to $107, Oman meeting postponed again, Japan and South Korea stock markets have already crashed today. Bitcoin is grinding between $76.5K–$77.5K, Ethereum holding at $2,460, Sandisk in the dark pool at $1,550. On the surface, it looks like a rebound, but in reality, it's waiting to die or survive. Tomorrow, only after the FOMC speaks will we know if it's death or life!$SNDK price is suppressed by EMA20 (1636.87), RSI dropped to 22.42, oversold but no reversal signal observed. The bearish condition is a rebound encountering resistance in the 1630.44–1643.29 range, or a 4H close with increased volume breaking below the trigger level at 1555.35. The invalidation level is 1662.58; holding above it abandons the short position. The first take profit target is 1598.30, the second is 1572.58. Volume shrank to 0.38 times the average volume; watch out for false breakouts caused by insufficient liquidity.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ $TRIA Did nothing, just went to the restroom, and when I came back, the K-line had already done the work for me.
When the market was just dumping in the morning session, TRIA's rebound looked weak no matter how you saw it. Every step down from the high was accompanied by volume, but the rebound got lighter and lighter. The trapped positions above were glaringly suppressing it; funds only wanted to use the rebound to sell, no one was really willing to buy. I looked along the short position direction at 0.005308, with protection set at the upper edge of the rebound platform. At that time, I only reminded one thing: don't chase the rebound at the early stage of a breakdown; if you feel itchy, just go wash your face in the restroom.
When I came back to check, the price had already dropped to 0.003484, and the position profit rate was stuck at +686.88%. The brothers on board should be comfortable now. I first took 80% off the table and moved the protection to the cost price for the remaining 20%. If it continues to fall, let it fall; if it dares to break the previous low, it can still eat another segment; if it rebounds back, this trade won't turn from profit to loss.
Risk control is done upfront, called rationality; cutting losses after losing is called decisive action. Now don't chase shorts; wait for the rebound to the structural level before moving. If the next shot hasn't come, be patient and wait; the market can't open the door only once.
$SNDK $ADA Brothers, SNDK has dropped back to 1566, and Kioxia's statement has put the price hike story on pause.
$SNDK $1,566
SanDisk has retraced from Wednesday's high of $1,807 down to around $1,566, a drop of over 13%. The main reason for the sell-off is not its own fundamentals, but Kioxia CEO Hiroo Ota's public statement that "memory prices have risen enough," instructing the sales team to no longer aggressively raise prices for data center customers. Kioxia is the first major company to actively "hit the brakes" in this storage price hike cycle.
Kioxia pours cold water, SNDK retraces 13% in a week
However, SNDK's long-term logic remains intact. Goldman Sachs maintains a "buy" rating and a $2,200 target price, with the core logic being that NAND supply is constrained long-term, AI inference is driving explosive demand for data center SSDs, and long-term agreements already cover about 50% of FY27 shipments and about two-thirds of FY28 shipments, with a floor price mechanism supporting roughly 80% gross margin. Bernstein even gives a $3,000 target price.
The key contradiction is: Is Kioxia's "price stabilization" statement a rational choice for healthy industry development, or a sign that the NAND price hike cycle has peaked? This directly determines whether SNDK's 80% gross margin can be sustained.
Discuss in the comments: Is Kioxia's "cold water" this time rational or a sign of surrender?👇
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 Long.xyz founder Nate announced that there will be major moves this week regarding perpetual contracts and synthetic assets, aiming to integrate with the platform's top trading pairs. Last week, they just launched support for OpenAI and Anthropic tokenized 1x long position pools, which stirred up quite a buzz in the market.
This approach combines pre-IPO narratives, meme popularity, and derivatives leverage all in one. It sounds appealing, but the underlying assets lack real liquidity, and pricing relies entirely on the platform and market sentiment. The 1x long position pool seems to have limited risk, but once the hype fades, redemption and liquidity of the pool become problematic. Additionally, Robinhood Chain's gas fee revenue plummeted 82.6% a few days ago, indicating that revenue models relying on hype-driven volume are very unstable. What really matters is not what new gimmicks are launched, but whether there is sustained trading demand and a compliant path. Without these two, no matter how big the design space is, it will only be short-term excitement.Is LIT's recent surge really just ticker confusion and a short squeeze?
Lighter (LIT) has surged over 97% in the past month, with a 24-hour increase of 13.73%, reaching an all-time high of $5.32. On the surface, it looks like sentiment-driven, but on-chain data reveals a deeper logic:
Supply tightening is real
Over 110 million LIT (44.2% of circulating supply) has been staked and locked, and the protocol has repurchased 17.5 million tokens (7%) since token generation. The tradable circulating supply has been significantly compressed, providing a solid foundation for the price increase.
Strong derivatives momentum
Open interest in contracts has exceeded $1 billion, with August trading volume surpassing $39.5 billion. A certain whale holds 1.13 million LIT short positions (entry price 4.324) with a liquidation price just 2.59% away, forcing shorts to cover and creating a spiral upward.
Short-term risks are accumulating
An address linked to Ethereum early contributor billΞ.eth withdrew 500,000 LIT (worth $2.07 million) two hours ago, signaling profit-taking. The daily MACD has formed a death cross, and the KDJ indicator shows overbought conditions with the J value turning down.
Outlook
If volume supports the $4.6 level, a mid-term challenge of the $5.30-$5.71 range is possible again. If it breaks below the $4.2 Bollinger Band middle line, a retest of the $3.5-$3.8 range may occur. The current risk-reward ratio is unfavorable, and chasing the high carries significant risk.
#LIT 📒 Wealth Diary｜Week 4 Summary｜Million Withdrawal Plan
Starting from an account balance of 1600U, this week's return rate is about 8.24%📈, with total assets now reaching 3120U 🚀
Numbers are growing, but the smoother things go, the more you need to stay calm. Trading is not a sprint, but a long-term game of patience, discipline, and execution.
👀 The real opportunities in the market often hide in quiet times.
Don't just focus on chasing highs and lows on the candlestick chart; it's more important to observe changes in capital, sentiment, and macro expectations, looking for subtle clues before the market starts moving.
Recently, macro data remains the core focus of the market. After the release of PPI and CPI, the market's repricing of the Fed's September policy path has clearly accelerated, and institutions have diverging expectations on rate cuts/hikes, causing short-term volatility in the crypto market to further increase.
🔵 $ETH's recent long-short battles remain intense. Whether going long or short, it's hard to easily capture the full big trend. For me, controlling position size and taking profits timely is more important now than frequently opening positions to chase quick gains.
📌 Take the profits you can get and hold on to them; avoid risks as much as possible.
It's okay to be slower; being steady is what takes you further.
Trading is never about who earns the most in a day, but who can survive longer in the market. 💪
🌊 Quietly observe subtle changes, wait for the real wave to appear, then follow the trend.
$ETH #PPI #CPI #Fed #CryptoMarketThis SPCX 155 strike price, after the option is exercised, no one will take over; over the weekend, you can only wait until Monday.
On the 8th, it touched 155; on the 10th, the highest was 154.7 but didn't surpass it, the lowest was 144.9, closing at 148.2. On the 11th, it opened at 150, the highest was 151.9, the lowest 145.9, closing at 151.2. The market is closed over the weekend, and the current price is still viewed around 151.
The range 151.9-155 above has become immediate resistance. If the 145.9 support below breaks again on Monday, it’s likely to first see 144.9, and further down is 141.
In the short term, first watch if the 151 level can hold. If it can’t hold, treat it as a pullback after a rally and don’t chase at the current price. For those already holding, watch if the 145.9 support can hold; if it can’t, consider reducing positions. Check again at Monday’s market open. $SPCX 1200 hasn't been reached yet, and ZEC is already rushing to rebound 6%?
$ZEC 1152, the most volatile in the past two days, rebounded 6%, with trading volume 82% higher than average. However, it has already risen 134% in 30 days and is still 81% below its all-time high. The previous high at 1200 is a barrier. With such a large volume, is someone really buying or is it a pump and dump? Watch if the volume can break through 1200 — if it does, expect new highs; if not, it's a double top.
$SOL 102 shows a completely different pattern from ZEC. It was sold down to 98.66 intraday but quickly bought back. Spot ETF funds are still flowing in, with resistance between 105 and 108. ZEC relies on emotional spikes, SOL is supported by capital. One is a gamble, the other is steady. If you want to sleep well, choose SOL.
$BTC 77270 is grinding between 77000 and 77500. In the past three days, spot ETFs had a net outflow of 450 million, but a whale quietly bought 1075 coins below 77000. The market is stagnant, so only coins like ZEC can jump around wildly. If you want to gamble, do it with a light position.The account has experienced 5 major drawdowns and has recovered 4 times. It is now in the 5th recovery phase, having lost another 700U yesterday, with current assets around 2100U.
$BTC $ETH $SNDK
The biggest lesson this time is still position control and profit-taking discipline. Although the number of trades has decreased and the win rate has improved, once the position size is too large, losses will still far exceed profits. BTC's cost on Friday was about 76400U, with unrealized gains reaching 2000U at one point, but due to greed and delayed profit-taking, the weekend pullback wiped out all profits, and ultimately had to stop loss and exit.
SNDK was the same; previously overly bullish, even ignoring the latest changes in the AI industry chain, blindly bottom-fishing and directly suffering losses.
The current market direction is unclear; rather than frequently placing bets, it's better to gather more information and trade less. Investing is not about luck, but about controlling risk, emotions, and position size.
Especially in a high-leverage environment, timely stop-loss is not admitting defeat, but to stay in the market for the next round.🫠With liquidity returning, the volatility of ETH has also started to increase. Before significant macro developments occur, it may not be able to break through as quickly as last week.
The extreme support below is not the weekend low of 2460, but around the middle axis of the entire range at 2430. Above the midline, the state is relatively strong;
Alternatively, the short-term can be divided into fluctuations between 2430-2550. Since the horizontal support below is relatively far, it is preferable to wait for a pullback opportunity near the upper edge at 2550/2570. #ETH
$ETH No new capital movements were detected on the airdrop side, so Alpha opportunities can only be mined from the naked K chart for now. CVC current price is 0.03093, and there are only two signals left after the market has been peeled. The area around 0.0333 above is a previous dense chip zone; a rebound to that level is likely to encounter selling pressure. On the downside, the 0.0295 to 0.0300 range has seen three consecutive wicks with buyers stepping in, and the sell order volume is decreasing, indicating short-term bears are exhausted.
While waiting at the red light, I glanced at my phone clipped to the handlebar, and the urgent order call vibrated again, so I hung up first.
Therefore, do not chase at this position. You can first enter a base position on a pullback to 0.0302 to 0.0306, and if volume increases and it breaks above 0.0315, add another position. Set stop loss below 0.0293; if it breaks down, it’s a false breakout and do not catch the fall. Take profit targets are first at 0.0333, second at 0.0351. This is not yet the main upward wave, so keep your position light.
$CVC
#OKX预言家：来星球玩预测
@OKX星球 At 2 a.m., that needle pinned me to my chair. When BTC was rising from the low, I was still clutching the position I hadn't dared to cut yesterday day. Have you ever had that moment, knowing you should reduce but still stuck your finger on the mouse? Yesterday during the day, almost everything was pushing downward—BTC, BCH, and ZEC weakened in turn, and the market was so quiet it was irritating. I stared at the four-hour interval and knew clearly: this wasn't panic sell-offs, but buying was pulling back, slowing the pace. By evening, the price finally started to retrace, and the mood in the group shifted from "it will fall further" to "Is it time to short?" There was a subtle misalignment here. During the day, when prices dropped, people didn't dare to buy; when the market rebounded at night, they wanted to short. The essence was not a change in judgment, but a poor position. Trying to hedge the previous with a new order is the most expensive mentality. I posted last night that if it keeps falling, I'll buy a bit today. Now that it rebounded first, my plan is half void—no chasing shorts, no longer chasing longs. Because the early stage of a rebound is easily misinterpreted as a trend reversal. In fact, it's often just short covering, with volume not keeping up and structure not fixed. The path to a bullish side is: if BTC can hold the midline of this rebound, ETH and mainstream altcoins will catch up, then yesterday's downward pressure is just a shakeout, risk appetite will gradually return, and familiar faces like BCH and ZEC might have a window for sentiment recovery. But the risk is straightforward. If the rebound lacks volume, it gives trapped positions above an opportunity to sell; once it breaks below yesterday's low, stop-loss orders will wash again. What's even more troublesome is that many peopleOKB rebounds on low volume, volume and price first look at the 112-115 range rather than direction
Current price about 113.6, fee rate almost flat at +0.0003%, neither longs nor shorts have paid much
24h high 114.73, low 111.73, amplitude not exaggerated
4H support 112/113, resistance 114/115
Daily line same group 112/113·114/115, the range is very clean
4H closes +1.27%, daily +0.81%, belongs to low volume fill-in, not a high volume breakout
Rebound without volume support, above 114-115 looks more like a supply zone
Hold 112-113, just trade back and forth within the range
Break below 112, short-term structure weakens, reduce position and wait
So my judgment is
OKB is currently range trading, not a one-sided trend
No shorting unless it breaks 112, but no chasing longs above 115
$OKB #VolumePriceAnalysis #OKB 🧠 Mid-term Intelligence Observation: No obvious retreat from BTC long-term holders yet
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost points out that according to CDD data, the on-chain activity of BTC long-term holders (LTH) in this cycle is indeed higher than before, which may be related to the launch of spot ETFs and corporate funds entering the BTC market.
But there is no need to be overly anxious at the moment. After entering 2026, veteran players remain generally cautious. Although BTC has rebounded somewhat in the past month, it mostly reflects moderate profit-taking rather than sustained large-scale long-term chip transfers.
My judgment is simple: as long as the old whales do not show obvious selling, the market structure has not been disrupted. It is now more suitable to retain core positions and patiently wait for real directional signals, rather than chasing highs and selling lows.
📍 $BTC: Focus on whether it can effectively break through around $77,000
📍 $ETH: Continue to observe the performance around $2,500
Additionally, after the release of PPI and CPI, market expectations for the Fed's policy path in September are still rapidly adjusting, and short-term volatility may continue to increase.
Intelligence strategy: move less, watch more, and act only after confirmation. 👀
#PPI #CPI #BTC #ETH #VolatilityRadar #CoinMovementWatch$BTC current lowest price is 76628
Currently continuously weakening, falling all the way down from the high of 77442, with the lowest probing to 76628. The 15-minute candlestick has consecutively closed bearish, $ETH
Can't pull back from 77200 million, wait and see first.
If 76200 million can't hold, continue to guard against a further drop.
If volume really picks up and it stands back above 77200 million,
then consider rebound potential.
At this position now, it's okay to earn a little less.
Tomorrow afternoon the Senate will vote.
The CLARITY Act, a procedural vote, requires 60 votes. Republicans have 53 seats, at least 7 Democrats need to cross party lines to support. Polymarket shows only a 20% chance of passing.
Crazy hype about rate hikes, saying the probability of a hike in September is as high as 90%, frankly, it's like using momentum to intimidate, but it may not actually happen.
Many Wall Street traders have a clear view: the rate will most likely remain unchanged in September.
Crypto funds are now like a tug of war, washing back and forth, repeatedly harvesting longs and shorts.
The market script is basically preset:
Negative news lands (real rate hike): negative news exhausted, rebound comes
Maintain rate unchanged: slight rise
Unexpected rate cut: market surges directlyCPI hasn't cooled down, $ETH rose first
Inflation is still sticky, non-farm payrolls are still strong, and rate hike expectations haven't eased.
It's abnormal to push the market up at such a time.
What others think: The worst is priced in, the rebound is about to start.
Once the data is released, the worst expectations are gone, and the bulls' confidence is built.
What I think: This is shorts forced to stop loss collectively.
Panic accumulated a bunch of short positions over the week, and since the data isn't bad, they are forced to cover.
It's a capital behavior, not a trend behavior.
The real direction isn't in the CPI, watch the Fed on 9.16.
Before that, I treat every bullish candle as a chance to enter.
I wait for it to absorb all the chasing buyers.
#PPI, after CPI release, multiple institutions raised September rate hike expectations
#日银年内再加息成焦点 #美债收益率逼近5%，回购难缓长期压力 [Pharaoh's Market Watch]
Is Anthropic planning to take over the entire Nasdaq scene? AI giant Anthropic has officially chosen Nasdaq as its listing venue, with the earliest bell-ringing in October and a valuation targeting $2 trillion. Keep in mind, SpaceX just set an IPO record of $1.77 trillion in June this year, and Anthropic is aiming to surpass that right out of the gate.
This ledger is insanely solid. Annualized revenue has exceeded $65 billion, growing more than sevenfold in one year. Q2 revenue hit $11.5 billion, with a gross margin over 80%, and adjusted operating profit turned positive for two consecutive quarters. Nvidia is currently negotiating to invest up to $10 billion as a cornerstone investor in this IPO.
But Pharaoh must warn you, this play is not very friendly to the crypto space.
Anthropic's IPO might siphon liquidity and attention away from Bitcoin. He recalled the script from SpaceX's listing—Bitcoin was hammered down from its highs weeks before the IPO, as funds chased the new AI stock. History might repeat itself now. Coupled with last week's ETF net outflow of $450 million over three days and Bitcoin repeatedly bottoming around 78,000, this diversion effect is already happening.
Pharaoh's bottom line: Anthropic's IPO is a coming-of-age ceremony for the AI track, but the crypto liquidity pool is limited. With hundreds of billions diverted, Bitcoin's short-term rebound ceiling is being suppressed. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #Anthropic拟赴纳斯达克IPO