Is the outcome of the U.S. midterm elections already decided? The Democrats are pushing to control Congress across five continents. Under such circumstances, what kinds of divergences will appear in politics, finance, macroeconomics, U.S. stocks, and crypto?
Is the outcome of the U.S. midterm elections already decided? The Democratic Party has consecutively taken control of key swing states across five regions, and under such circumstances, what kind of divergence will appear in politics, finance, macroeconomics, U.S. stocks, and crypto? As of 2 PM Beijing time on November 4, the vote count for the U.S. midterm elections has concluded. The Democratic Party has consecutively won several key swing states previously controlled by the Republican Party, achieving a sweeping victory. Vote count results: The core red states Texas and Iowa were taken by the Democrats, especially Texas, where the Democrats won the Senate election for the first time in 38 years. In the deep red state of South Carolina, the Democrats won a federal Senate election for the first time this century. The Republican losses in these key states indicate that under Trump's current leadership, the Republican Party has lost significant public support. Losing key states further reduces the Republican Party's influence in Congress. #美国中期选举:民主党赢得国会两院控制权 The vote count is not yet complete, but based on current tallies, the Democrats are expected to fully secure the majority seats in both the House and Senate, regaining control of Congress. This means the U.S. is shifting from unified Republican governance to a divided government with the Democrats controlling Congress and the Republicans controlling the White House. The main market conflicts will increase in the future. Under the political struggle between the two parties, whether Trump's policies can be implemented will shift from whether they can be proposed to whether they can be executed, whether fiscal compromises can be reached, and how financial conditions will be priced. Moreover, based on current support rates, in the medium to long term, the pressure for the Republican Party to win the next U.S. presidential election is enormous. If Trump realizes that the Republican Party cannot continue to hold the presidency, then
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