Solana ETF approval: will Solana be next with a spot SOL ETF?

If you've been keeping up with the news, you'll know that the spot Bitcoin ETF was a major event that shook up the crypto world. The fund's official approval welcomed an influx of TradFi traders to the space who hadn't yet gained exposure to Bitcoin.

With ETF inflows far exceeding outflows in the weeks following the fund's launch, it's fair to say the arrival of the various spot Bitcoin ETFs contributed to hype and euphoria in the crypto market. This spot Bitcoin ETF's early success also led to rampant speculation about other crypto ETFs arriving in the coming years.

Alongside the potential spot ETH ETF approval and how regulators will likely make a decision about it on May 23, 2024, another exchange-traded fund that's gained traction in the crypto community is a spot SOL ETF. Like its spot Bitcoin counterpart, crypto traders are speculating about the bullish possibility of TradFi traders gaining exposure to altcoins like Solana through a spot Solana ETF.

Curious to know how this might play out? From understanding how a spot Solana ETF differs from the current offerings on the TradFi market to understanding the potential roadblocks to a spot Solana ETF approval, here's your ultimate guide to spot Solana ETFs.

What is Solana?

With origins dating back to 2017, Solana is a blockchain platform designed for speed and scalability. Thanks to innovations like Proof of History and tower byzantine fault tolerance, Solana can achieve faster processing times and handle a higher volume of transactions simultaneously.

Powered by Solana's native token, SOL, users pay a fraction of the gas fees on the Solana ecosystem compared to those encountered on the competing Ethereum network. It's arguably this affordability and focus on scalability that makes Solana such a hit among crypto beginners and DeFi enthusiasts. As one of today's most popular Layer 1 blockchains, it's no wonder there's speculation about a future spot Solana ETF and what it could mean for adoption.

Traditional ETFs vs crypto ETFs: the similarities and differences

If you're well-versed in trading TradFi assets, you might be curious how crypto ETFs compare to their traditional counterparts. In the TradFi world, ETFs are baskets of securities and typically contain stocks, commodities or bonds that trade on stock exchanges. Given the variety of assets available on traditional markets, an ETF essentially offers a diversified way to gain exposure to a particular sector or market. Both traditional ETFs and crypto ETFs track the performance of their underlying assets without requiring direct ownership.

So how do crypto ETFs differ? The key distinction is the underlying asset. Traditional ETFs hold a basket of stocks, bonds, or commodities, providing diversification within a specific market segment. In contrast, a Solana ETF (if and when approved) would focus solely on SOL tokens. This means a Solana ETF wouldn't offer the inherent diversification of a traditional ETF. Rather, a spot Solana ETF would offer a concentrated way to gain exposure to the performance of Solana specifically. While this concentration could amplify gains, it also magnifies the inherent volatility of cryptocurrency markets.

Currently, there are no true Solana ETFs approved in the U.S.. However, there are products like Grayscale's Solana Trust (GSOL) and Solana Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs) available in some regions.

What TradFi-related Solana trading products exist today?

Since there are no approved Solana ETFs in the U.S. yet, it's interesting to explore what other options crypto curious traders have today. Here are some examples:

  • Grayscale Solana Trust (GSOL) is a security that tracks the price of SOL, but it's not an ETF. Unlike ETFs, GSOL shares can trade at a premium or discount to the underlying SOL price.

  • Solana Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs) and Exchange Traded Notes (ETNs) are similar to ETFs but trade on regulated exchanges outside the U.S.. Some examples include VanEck's Solana ETN and 21Shares' Solana ETP.

How a spot Solana ETF differs from today's Solana trading products

Spot vs derivative exposure

While these aforementioned trading products offer some exposure to Solana, they might not be as readily available or have the same regulations as a true ETF. Compared to a spot ETF, the Grayscale Solana Trust and related ETPs and ETNs differ because they employ different structures to achieve their price tracking goals. If approved, a true spot Solana ETF will directly hold SOL tokens in its underlying basket. The value of the ETF would then directly reflect the price movements of those SOL tokens. In contrast, GSOL, ETPs, and ETNs often use derivative contracts to achieve their price tracking. These derivatives could be futures contracts, swaps, or other financial instruments that aim to mimic the price movements of SOL.

Transparency and fees

A spot Solana ETF's holdings are typically transparent, as seen in the spot Bitcoin ETF holdings that are ready for trading in TradFi markets today. This means traders can see exactly what assets the spot ETF holds. With derivative-based structures used by GSOL, ETPs, and ETNs, the specifics of the underlying derivatives might be less transparent. This can add an additional layer of complexity for traders attempting to understand the product. Additionally, derivative-based structures might involve additional fees associated with managing those derivatives and impacting the overall expense ratio of the product compared to a spot SOL ETF.

Regulatory oversight

Even though ETPs and ETNs trade on regulated exchanges, the underlying assets and derivatives used in their structure might be subject to different regulations compared to a U.S.-approved spot ETF. This could be a key factor for some investors seeking a more familiar and regulated environment.

Overall, while the much-anticipated spot Solana ETF awaits regulatory approval, traders may opt to gain indirect exposure to Solana through GSOL and various Solana ETPs and ETNs. However, given the various differences involved, it would be best for traders to be aware of these key differences before making an informed decision to trade such Solana trading products.

Understanding the regulatory landscape and chances of a spot Solana ETF approval

Despite recently greenlighting spot Bitcoin ETFs, the regulatory landscape surrounding crypto ETFs in the U.S. is still evolving. This comes after the historic approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, as the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has strongly stated it doesn't endorse Bitcoin.

However, there have been some positive developments in this front. Some analysts believe that as the crypto market matures and regulatory frameworks adapt, the path for Solana ETFs could become clearer. This can be seen from how firms like VanEck have already filed applications for Solana ETFs, indicating growing industry interest. On top of this, we're hearing about a slight buzz behind the idea of an Ethereum-related ETF in the form of a spot Ether ETF approval as Blackrock sees value in establishing an Ether fund. Given their track record of getting ETFs approved and pushed through, we may see altcoin-related crypto ETFs down the line once regulatory frameworks are fully established.

When will spot Solana ETFs be approved?

While it's likely that a spot Solana ETF will be hinted at down the line, an exact estimate of when spot Solana ETFs will be approved can be tough given the current roadblocks that spot ETH ETFs are facing. However, we can use the spot Bitcoin ETF roadmap as a framework for our deduction on when spot Solana ETFs may be approved. To start the process with regulators, institutions will first need to incorporate a Solana futures ETF, like its Bitcoin and Ether counterparts with the Proshares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) and VanEck Ethereum Strategy ETF (EFUT). Then, institutions will likely be able to make a better case for the approval of a spot SOL ETF given the interest in trading Solana futures ETFs.

Should you buy Solana instead? How it compares to trading Solana ETF shares

Unfortunately, there's no one-size-fits-all answer. The decision to trade spot Solana ETF shares will ultimately depend on your individual risk tolerance, trading goals, and overall portfolio strategy. However, given the ease of access to various Solana spot and Solana future trading pairs across various centralized exchanges, it might make more sense for traders interested in Solana to directly trade it on a crypto exchange instead. Here are some considerations before making that final decision on which to trade.

Direct ownership and crypto self-custody

By buying Solana directly on a crypto exchange, you have full ownership and control of your SOL. You can choose to hold them, stake them for potential rewards, or trade them freely across various platforms. This level of control might be appealing to some crypto traders given the popular mantra "not your keys, not your crypto" that highlights the importance of self-custody and personal crypto ownership.

Potential for higher returns given the always-open crypto markets

Unlike traditional stock exchanges that have fixed operating hours, cryptocurrency markets are always open. This constant activity allows for a more dynamic and faster-moving market, which provides crypto traders with opportunities to capitalize on sudden price volatility.

Access to DeFi opportunities

It's possible to gain access to bonus returns by staking your Solana through the world of Decentralized Finance (DeFi). By using various decentralized apps like Jito and Marinade Finance built on the Solana blockchain, you can participate in DeFi protocols like staking, lending, or borrowing. These options offer additional ways to possibly capture returns on your Solana holdings while HODLing the asset.

Final words and next steps

Many agree that a spot Solana ETF would be a step in the right direction towards mainstream adoption for the crypto markets. Thanks to greater ease of access, lower fees, and a regulated environment, a spot Solana ETF could be an effective way of introducing TradFi traders to cryptocurrencies besides Bitcoin. If a spot Solana ETF is approved, we'll likely witness the same excitement seen following the Bitcoin equivalent. The move could bring a huge influx of non-crypto natives into the crypto scene seeking to gain exposure to the throughput powerhouse that is Solana.

Do you prefer to trade Solana directly? Give trading Solana a go after reading our guide on how to trade Solana, and check out our picks for top Solana wallets.

FAQs about Solana ETFs

Is a Solana ETF likely to be approved?

With spot Bitcoin ETFs setting a precedent in the TradFi markets, we might eventually see a Solana ETF approval. Given the time that spot Bitcoin ETFs took to eventually get approved by regulators, the arrival of a spot Solana ETF may require some extra revisions.

When will Solana ETFs be approved in the U.S.?

The timeline for Solana ETF approval is tough to predict. However, with increasing interest in the crypto industry and potential regulatory shifts, it could happen soon.

Are there any alternatives to Solana ETFs currently?

Products like GSOL and Solana ETPs and ETNs offer some exposure to Solana, but they have limitations and drawbacks compared to trading spot Solana ETFs.

Is it safe to trade Solana ETFs?

Any crypto-related asset is inherently risky. With Solana, its price can fluctuate significantly given the vast volatility present in the crypto markets.

What are some factors to consider before trading Solana ETFs, if they're approved?

Once the information is available, traders should research the specific Solana ETF's fees, liquidity, and tracking record, and consider how Solana fits into an overall trading strategy.

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