
分析师 Young
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The 10-year US Treasury yield has risen above 5%, the first time in nearly three years.
With the risk-free rate rising, funds should have flowed out of gold, BTC, and growth stocks, and AI stocks experiencing a second decline is a normal expectation.
But unusually, Bitcoin has just risen to 78671.
The core reason is the market is speculating on the procedural vote benefits of the CLARITY Act; short-term industry positives are suppressing the negative impact of US Treasury rate hikes.
However, this is only a short-term news game. The subsequent outcome of the bill and whether the US Treasury yield can hold above 5% will still dominate the market, so caution is necessary.

At 2:30 AM tomorrow (September 16), there will be a very critical moment for the crypto market
Trump has made concessions to push the CLARITY Act through the Senate, agreeing to about 80% of the ethical rule amendments in the bill. The Senate will hold a procedural vote at this time
✅ If this vote passes, it only means the bill can continue to move forward; it does not mean the bill is officially enacted
❌ If the vote fails, the bill will basically be shelved
Compared to the short-term market disruptions caused by interest rate hikes, the CLARITY Act is a major long-term event for the crypto industry. Interest rate hikes only cause short-term price fluctuations, but the impact of the bill on the industry will be much more profound
From the current situation, I am more inclined to believe it will pass smoothly, and Bitcoin will also see a big rebound tomorrow

$HOOD Pre-market Analysis
A new week begins, $HOOD pre-market price is 112.4
This level is supported by the two-hour MACD zero line, combined with the EMA52 moving average support, making it a key defense position
If this level holds, there is still a chance for the market to rebound again; once it breaks down effectively, the next target is 107
Today's focus is on the market reaction after the opening at the 112 level
The two-hour MACD is following the main frequency structure, currently in a non-divergent state, so there is still a possibility of another rebound
I am Young, a trader focused on candlestick analysis. I track US stocks, crypto, and gold markets daily, sharing market signals and trading ideas. Feel free to follow if interested

$CRCL Pre-market Analysis
Last Friday, I already warned to be cautious of a pullback in $CRCL, with the predicted pullback target around 84
Currently, CRCL's pre-market price is near 92, which is the previous two-hour level support. Although the price briefly broke below and then rebounded, the MACD has already crossed down, so defense is still necessary
There is a probability of a high open followed by a decline at today's open, further probing the 86-84 range
The current pullback is not yet complete, continue to closely monitor this range
I am Young, a trader focused on candlestick analysis. I track US stocks, crypto, and gold markets daily, sharing only market signals and trading ideas. Feel free to follow if interested

$SKHY SK Hynix Pre-Market Analysis
Last Friday, I already warned about SK Hynix that after reaching a new high, there is a risk of a pullback. At that time, the pullback observation range was set at 185‑176.
Currently, SK Hynix's pre-market price is around 167.6, which has fallen back into the predicted pullback range. The current price is at the two-hour level support, so the focus is on observing the strength of this support.
Although it has entered a pullback, the four-hour chart still remains strong. The market has a chance to form a bottom in the 176‑168 range and then launch a short-term rebound.
SK Hynix is a stock that signals a pullback early. Next, closely monitor the market reaction at the key support levels. If any abnormal situation occurs during the session, I will provide an update.
I am Young, a trader focused on candlestick analysis. I track US stocks, crypto, and gold markets daily, sharing only market signals and trading ideas. If interested, feel free to follow.

Micron Pre-Market Analysis
At the start of the new week, Micron's pre-market price on Monday is 921.
The reason for this drop was already explained after 4 PM, and was also summarized in SanDisk's pre-market analysis, so it won't be repeated here.
Micron's current market structure continues to weaken, forming a classic large-cycle M top pattern at a high level.
Currently, the price is stuck at the critical defense level of the 921 M top neckline, which is the most crucial life-or-death position right now.
Once the neckline is effectively broken, the bullish structure will completely collapse, and the market will enter a deep weakening phase with the entire downside space fully open.
The ultimate strong support below is locked at the two-day moving average level of 845.
If it subsequently breaks below 845 effectively, the large-cycle two-day moving average will enter a momentum decay state, and the overall trend will turn completely bearish, with the possibility of continuing a deep decline and sustained adjustment.
It is essential to focus on avoiding downside risk in the storage sector in the near term.
I am Young, a trader specializing in candlestick analysis. I track US stocks, crypto, and gold markets daily, sharing only market signals and trading ideas. If interested, feel free to follow.

SanDisk $SNDK Pre-Market Analysis
Over the weekend, Anthropic's CEO called for a slowdown in the iteration of cutting-edge large models. Subsequently, OpenAI and Elon Musk publicly expressed agreement. The market worries that AI computing power capital expenditure expectations will be downgraded, triggering a sharp pullback across the entire tech sector.
SanDisk's current pre-market price is around 1540, having already broken the 4-hour support level, signaling the end of the 4-hour rebound. This position is no longer suitable for long trades.
After the U.S. stock market opens today, focus on observing 1540, which is also the daily support level. Pay attention to the strength of support holding.
The large cycle chart shows an M-top pattern, and the current market has entered a retest phase with 4-hour momentum indicators weakening.
Next, focus on the core defense range of 1491‑1418, which is the neckline area of the M-top.
✅ If it holds near 1530, there is still a chance for a rebound, although the support strength is weaker compared to the 4-hour level. Watch if the daily line can support the market to start a new rebound.
❌ If the M-top neckline is also broken, it indicates the end of the three-day rebound, and a deeper correction is expected to continue.
I am Young, a trader focused on candlestick analysis. I track U.S. stocks, crypto, and gold markets daily, sharing only market signals and trading ideas. Feel free to follow if interested.

The Tesla Cybercab domestic static exhibition is here.
From September 17 to 27, it will be on static display only in Beijing and Shanghai, no test drives allowed
Really want to go see it in person, to experience the texture of the real thing with my own eyes, and immerse myself in the futuristic tech vibe of this car
Just looking at the pictures is stunning, I wonder what it will feel like to touch the actual car

Recently, the AI storage sector has collectively plunged, with Micron, SK Hynix, and SanDisk all experiencing significant pullbacks compared to their previous highs.
The earlier surge was too rapid, leading to a large amount of profit-taking. Coupled with statements from OpenAI and Anthropic proposing a slowdown in the iteration of cutting-edge large models, the market has started to worry about the sustainability of AI computing power capital expenditures, directly impacting the valuation expectations of storage chips.
Even though many companies still report impressive earnings, the market has already priced in future high growth. Once expectations weaken at the margin, a stampede-like correction is likely.
It is important to distinguish: this is more of a valuation and sentiment correction, not a complete collapse of the AI storage industry logic.

