I am the mid-term intelligence guy. 9.28 Intelligence: $BTC closed above the May high, technically bullish, but less than 1% from the high, almost flat! Historically, after breaking above the 50-week moving average (like in 2019 and 2023), it usually rises 20%-30% within 1-2 weeks, but this round's increase is obviously weaker. The market worries about seasonal weakness and continuously rising yields. Previously, I predicted weakness in Q4, but BTC's continued strength makes me reconsider. Future analysis will reduce subjective bias and stay open. Standing at the high but unable to rise— is it a buildup or a sign of a trend reversal? Keep a close eye on the mid-term trend! $ETH $ZEC #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据

I know that many people, including my fans, can't resist mid-term trading and have switched to short-term trading, and have more or less suffered losses. I hope they can figure it out soon. Look at my profile, all my profit curves, and my significant drawdowns in the past were part of the learning process. I'm really not incapable of short-term trading. It's just that you need to rely on experience to judge when and what kind of trades to make. Not just thinking you can conquer the market by looking at one or two indicators. Especially when short-term trading carries extremely high risks. Going forward, I will switch between short-term and mid-term trading at appropriate times to further minimize drawdowns to the extreme. I've also experienced days when I had to squeeze out 5 yuan to buy 2 buns just to have a full meal. So I truly care about the money in my fans' pockets. Don't say you have little money and can only do short-term trading because it brings quick returns. Who didn't start with little money? A long-term trader is really not made overnight. It truly requires knowledge, practice, and accumulation. In any market, survival is the top priority. $BTC #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到

I am the mid-term intelligence guy. Let me analyze the risks currently facing $BTC for everyone. First, looking at the macro picture, U.S. Treasury yields have surged, with the 30-year at 5.6% and the 10-year at 5.28%, the highest since 2007. Risk assets are under broad pressure, and BTC is the first to be hit. Next, on-chain data from Glassnode shows altcoin spot volume has risen to nearly 4 times that of BTC, the highest since September 2025. This kind of signal often coincides with local BTC highs. At the same time, unrealized profits for whales holding 10–10,000 BTC have reached 14.09 billion, with a profit rate of 22.66%, already twice the high-risk threshold. The funding situation is also not optimistic. Matrixport-associated wallets have deposited another 1,000 BTC into Binance, continuing structured distribution, so selling pressure remains. Over 500 million in positions were liquidated in 24 hours, with 129,000 traders liquidated, and BTC has fallen below 83,000. My stance is very clear: be cautious, wait for signals! #10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 #美债30年期收益率突破5.6%，创2002年来新高

I am the mid-term intelligence guy. Looking at the ETH chart, the Glamsterdam upgrade will first launch Sepolia on October 6, including EIP-7732/7928/8037/8038, with the mainnet date to be determined. Positive factors: SharpLink pledged another 42,000 ETH, totaling 892,000; Spot ETF has had net inflows for 7 consecutive days, with $17.1 million on 9/28, led by BlackRock; BitMine holds over 6 million ETH, nearly 5% of total supply, with 85% already staked; Hyperliquid shorts have reduced from 100,000 $ETH to 20,000. Binance ETH holdings decreased by 110,000 to 3.54 million; Some insiders are shorting 6,410 ETH; A 4-hour DeMark 13 pullback signal appeared, leverage driving spot shortage; If the channel breaks, altcoins will follow the drop; analysts see resistance at 2800 and a dip to 2600. Mid-term, I lean towards consolidation and caution against pullbacks! $BTC $DOGE #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高

#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 I am the mid-term intelligence guy. $BTC is currently around 83500, with sentiment 47% bullish, 39% neutral, 14% bearish. Positive factors: Spot ETF weekly inflow is 2.39 billion, the strongest since October last year, with net inflow turning positive about 1 billion year-to-date; Saylor says the buying window is open until 2035; long-term holders' cost is about 62,700, and open contracts have dropped nearly 20% to a three-month low. But the wind is stronger: US 10-year Treasury hits 5.28%, 30-year 5.6%, suppressing risk assets; Altcoin spot volume soars to nearly 4 times BTC, historically signaling local tops. Large holders with 10,000–100,000 coins have unrealized profits of 14.09 billion, profit rate 22.66%, extremely high risk; breaking 83,000 has caused over 500 million and 129,000 people to liquidate. Wait for a pullback confirmation before buying again. $ETH $SOL

I see $ETH in this wave, 65% bullish but the hidden line is tight, don't get swayed by emotions in the mid-term. Fundamentals are solid: Spot ETF net inflow of 17.1 million on September 28, seven consecutive days of positive inflows, led by IBIT/ETHA; BitMine holds over 6 million coins accounting for 4.9% of supply, SharpLink re-staked 42,074 coins totaling 892,000; Glamsterdam upgrade on October 6 to Sepolia, bringing ePBS and gas adjustments; Anchorage transferred 25,000 coins into staking, bAnxin wallet withdrew 9,132 coins, chips are moving on-chain. Pressure is also obvious: bAn ETH holdings decreased by 110,000 coins in a week to 3.54 million; 3.09 billion long positions liquidated in 24 hours, 4-hour chart bearish, range-bound and trapped. My judgment: ETF and institutional staking provide support, but leverage liquidations, trading outflows, and congestion suppress the short term. Watch the 2650-2600 support, wait to stand back above the moving average before acting, keep light positions to guard against spikes. $BTC $SNDK #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点

I am the mid-term intelligence guy! Let me analyze the recent mixed $BTC market for everyone. The bullish side is strong: Spot ETF net inflow on September 28 was 31.07 million, attracting funds for eight consecutive days, totaling about 3 billion, with IBIT contributing 54.8 million in a single day. Weekly inflow hit a record 2.4 billion, reserves decreased by 35,800 coins in a week to 1.325 million, supply is tightening. Polymarket also launched a 15-minute BTC rise and fall market, and Saylor even claimed that 99% of Bitcoin will be mined by 2035, keeping the narrative hot. But the pressure is real: the 10-year US Treasury yield surged to 5.2%-5.27%, the highest since 2007, WTI oil price broke 100, and US-Iran tensions are pressuring risk assets. Addresses transferred out 3,568 BTC worth about 297 million USD in 9 hours; Lookonchain questions whether this is selling or just transfers, leaving the market uncertain. My judgment: ETF and chip tightening support the mid-term bottom, macro and whale movements suppress short-term rhythm. Don't chase the rise near 83,000, wait for stabilization confirmation, control position size, and guard against spikes. $ETH $DOGE #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高

I am the mid-term intelligence guy! Not opening a position today doesn't mean I haven't been watching the market. Looking at the 1-hour chart, the short-term is weak, so don't rush to catch falling knives in the mid-term. $BTC current price is around 83,000, after a previous high of 84,544 it dropped all the way to about 82,600. EMA5/10/20 are pressing down above at 83,458, 83,622, and 83,629 respectively, price is below the moving averages, MACD is -112, KDJ's J value is -8, oversold but no bottoming structure yet. 24-hour volume is 6.062 billion, the drop is accompanied by increased volume, and the 83,000 level is still being tested. $ETH current price is around 2,670, similarly after hitting 2,748 it pulled back. EMA5/10/20 are suppressing around 2,694, 2,699, and 2,695, MACD is -4.87, J value is -3.28, also oversold. 24-hour volume is 8.079 billion, selling pressure is heavy, 2,650-2,660 is short-term support. For the mid-term, wait for the 1-hour to break back above EMA20 before considering, don't get stopped out by spikes, wait with a light position for confirmation. $ZEC #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高

#ThisWeekWelcomesNonFarmAndPCEKeyData I see BTC in this wave; the mid-term logic is intact, but short-term pressure is very real. Macroscopically, the 10-year US Treasury yield surged to 5.24%, oil prices broke 100, and geopolitical tensions are weighing on risk assets; The good news is that River's report states that the number of coin-holding listed companies is still increasing during the bear market, and enterprise adoption continues to rise. The funding environment is relatively cold. ETFs had a net outflow of 23.77 million on September 28, and only an inflow of 31.07 million on Monday, a sharp contraction from last week's 999 million. Glassnode indicates that altcoin spot volume is nearly four times that of BTC, often accompanying local BTC tops. Market: $BTC briefly fell below 83,000, triggering 486 million in liquidations, with longs accounting for 392 million; short holders moved nearly 23,000 BTC into exchanges. Addresses transferred out 3,568 BTC (about 297 million USD) in 9 hours, purpose unknown, causing market concerns about sell-offs. My judgment: macro and on-chain selling pressure overlap, ETF cools down, altcoins absorb x, short-term caution against spikes; Mid-term focus on the gain or loss of 83,000, don't chase lightly, wait for chips to stabilize before acting. $ETH $DOGE #BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高

I am the mid-term intelligence guy! Right now with $ETH, there are a few key points to watch closely. From a technical perspective, the Glamsterdam upgrade is scheduled for Q4 2026, reducing block time from 13 minutes to 12-24 seconds. This is a solid benefit for institutional cross-chain settlements, but it’s a long-term solution that doesn’t solve immediate needs. Binance withdrew 110,000 ETH in one week, reducing its holdings from 3.65 million to 3.54 million, a 3% decrease. Coins are moving out; mid-term this looks like chip consolidation, but short-term it’s compounded by the liquidation of over 309 million long positions. Binance, OKX, Bybit, and Hyperliquid are all disaster zones with heavy leverage liquidations. DYORSWAP’s fake bridge drained 767 ETH, and some wallets dumped over 5 million USD in the first week after distribution, with original addresses still selling. My judgment: upgrade expectations provide a floor, but exchange outflows, chain liquidations, and selling pressure are weighing on sentiment. Watch out for short-term spikes; manage your positions well and wait for certainty. $BTC $ZEC #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持

#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 I am the mid-term intelligence guy. Just saw this from Tom Lee: After US Treasury yields surged to about a twenty-year high, Jim Bianco turned bullish on US Treasuries for the first time in six years. The logic is straightforward—if yields start to fall, the "highest pain points," fiscal deficits, inflation concerns, and the Fed's hawkish narrative will all ease together. This aligns with the non-farm payroll and PCE data I'm watching this week: if the data suppresses rate hike expectations and US Treasury yields turn down, risk assets like stocks and crypto are more likely to rebound. But don't chase just because you hear "rebound." Mid-term guy only looks for confirmation: only consider flexible assets like $ETH, $BMNR, and $BTC when yields truly break downwards. Before any signal, keep light positions and wait for the data; don't treat narratives as positions. #美债收益率创2007年来新高，黄金跌超3%

#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 I am the mid-term intelligence guy. This week is the "PCE sets inflation, Nonfarm sets employment" double hammer week, don't be fooled by the daily chart's upper and lower shadows. Currently, the Fed is hawkish; if PCE is higher than expected → rate hike expectations rise again → USD and US Treasury yields strengthen, gold/risk assets get hammered; Strong Nonfarm is even "bad news," the market fears tightening. Mid-term guy doesn't rush data spikes: reduce positions before PCE, don't go full before Nonfarm. Strong data means shorting USD counterparts accordingly; weak data means waiting for a pullback confirmation before going long. Remember: single-week data changes sentiment, not trend; position sizing is more valuable than forecast values. $BTC $ETH