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星野不上头
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通胀这东西最烦的地方，不是它高。
是它明明回落了一点，但能源、关税和 AI 基建这些变量又开始往里添柴。
美联储最怕的不是一次数据难看，是通胀重新变得黏。
今晚 CPI，市场交易的就是这个风险。
文xi
BTC is currently around $76,600. If the core CPI can still be kept around 0.2%, the market can at least breathe a sigh of relief, and the probability of a rate hike may drop, allowing BTC to potentially recover back to around $78,000 or even $80,000.
If CPI exceeds expectations, it’s uncertain whether Bitcoin can hold $76,000. After last night’s PPI release, the market has clearly become more nervous.
The US August PPI rose 0.4% month-over-month, in line with expectations, but the year-over-year increase reached 5.4%, slightly above market expectations. More troubling is that energy prices rose 4.2% in a single month, and oil prices are currently high again.
The market’s probability of a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in September has risen from about 61% the previous day to around 71%.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #PPI高于预期，今晚CPI定方向 #财报观察员：甲骨文AI云收入增121%
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