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Zainab922
$QQQ just entered correction territory - down 10% from all-time highs.
Sounds scary. So I pulled 25 years of data on every time QQQ entered a 10%+ correction after making a fresh all-time high.
That's happened just 15 times since 2000, including 5 times during the AI bull market that began in January 2023.
Full sample (all 15 corrections):
- 3 months later: +8.5% avg | 73% win rate
- 6 months later: +12.5% avg | 79% win rate
- 12 months later: +3.1% avg | 64% win rate
Modern era (2018-present):
- 3 months later: +10% avg | 82% win rate
- 6 months later: +18% avg | 90% win rate
- 12 months later: +22% avg | 90% win rate
The two major exceptions:
- 2000: The dot-com bubble burst after extreme valuations.
- 2022: The Fed's most aggressive tightening cycle in decades turned a correction into a bear market.
History doesn't guarantee the future, but most QQQ corrections during bull markets have historically been opportunities not disasters.
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