#HormuzTankerAttacks
About HormuzTankerAttacks
Repeated tanker attacks in and around the Strait of Hormuz are raising shipping risks and costs. Qatar said on Oct 6 that its mediation between the US and Iran continues, while Iran maintains that threats or pressure will not prompt it to reopen the strait. Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline is pumping about 5.8 million barrels a day, providing an alternative route that helps ease supply pressure.
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#HormuzBabElMandebRisk Both critical Middle Eastern energy chokepoints are now contested at the same time 🛢️💀
Hormuz still hasn't reopened to normal traffic. Iran's conditions remain unmet — they're holding the strait closed as leverage. Every day offline is a day the oil market prices in supply risk 📉
Then October 5: Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces launched a new offensive near Bab-el-Mandeb and claimed to retake key areas. Houthis say fighting continued anyway. Which side actually controls what is now ambiguous, but the fighting itself is the point — it keeps the second-largest crude corridor under pressure 🚨
When one chokepoint is blocked and the other is contested, global oil supply gets written at a premium. Refiners have to route around both, adding cost and time. Backup routes fill up fast 👀
Hormuz closed by Iran's political demands. Bab-el-Mandeb contested by active military operations. Neither is resolving this week. And oil is pricing both as structural, not temporary 🔥
Two chokepoints down, neither with a clear reopening date — does oil break above $110 and stay there, or is there a price ceiling the market won't cross? 👇
Risk is no longer confined to one chokepoint. Hormuz remains outside normal traffic, while fighting near Bab el-Mandeb keeps a second route uncertain. The key market question is not simply supply loss, but how long traders must price rerouting and insurance friction into refined-fuel flows.
#HormuzBabElMandebRisk
⚠️ But it isn’t completely empty either. Some commercial vessels are still getting through under restricted/high-risk conditions. Live AIS tracking showed only about 9% of normal commercial traffic over the past week.#HormuzStillClosed
STRAIT OF HORMUZ: 12 tanker attacks linked to the IRGC over the past week.
Between September 29 and October 5, UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) issued 13 advisories documenting 12 tanker attacks and 1 IRGC threat incident in the Strait of Hormuz.
Breakdown:
• September 29: 3 tankers struck by projectiles.
• October 1: 1 tanker struck, causing a fire.
• October 2: 2 tankers struck, including 1 that suffered a fire and temporary blackout.
• October 3: 1 crude oil tanker struck above the waterline.
• October 4: 2 tankers struck, including an LPG carrier.
• October 5: 3 tankers struck, including 1 that suffered an engine room fire.
Separately, on October 5, the IRGC ordered an inbound tanker approximately 11 nautical miles north of Khasab, Oman, to turn back or face being targeted. The vessel complied.
The attacks caused fires, engine room damage and power failures.
So far, the U.S. hasn’t responded to these attacks.
The pace of Iranian attacks against commercial ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz continues to increase as the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) Center has issued another warning advisory after receiving a report from a verified source that a tanker was transiting outbound when it was struck by an unknown projectile. The warning does not make mention of injuries to personnel or environmental damage.
