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币圈八爺
币圈八爺
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周四凌晨这场决议,结果我一点不担心:维持不变基本写在脸上了,市场九成以上的定价都压在这上面,决议本身翻不出浪。真能掀桌子的,是声明措辞和后面记者会那张嘴。👀 主席的底色全场都清楚,他咬着两句话一直不松口:就业没出大毛病,通胀还远在2%上头。按这个路数,他没理由这次突然转鸽。10月这场是明牌,12月那根弦才是真的紧。措辞但凡再硬一点,12月加息的押注只会更满,高利率拖得越久,盘面越难受。 今晚十点消费者信心先落地,预期81,9月是81.9,这是开奖前最后一组硬数据。它撬不动决议,但真砸下来,能先给盘面添把火,情绪这东西,烧起来可比数据快。 盘面这边更有意思:BTC在80000上下磨了快一周,价格趴着不动,仓位却一路在加。多空都把子弹攒着等开奖,这种局里假突破最伤人,先伸手的往往先挨打。ETH、SOL也是一个节奏,跟着磨,就ZEC自己走自己的,还在折腾。😤 我的打法就一句:开奖前不押单边,仓位先收着。等声明和记者会都过完,先看美元和美债收益率往哪边倒,BTC跟上方向我再顺势上车。实在手痒想试,只许轻仓,跌破关口立马认错。你们押这次措辞偏鹰还是偏鸽?
楼下不要吵
楼下不要吵
#本周将公布10月FOMC利率决议 #本周将公布10月FOMC利率决议,BTC行情即将迎来关键考验! The focus of the global market this week is undoubtedly the Federal Reserve's October interest rate decision. Currently, the market generally expects the Fed to keep rates unchanged, but what really deserves caution is the signal the Fed will send after pausing rate hikes. Inflationary pressures still exist. If the Fed emphasizes the possibility of further tightening in the future, then even if there is no rate hike this time, it may not bring sustained positive momentum to the market. For the crypto market, the key lies in changes in the US dollar, US Treasury yields, and risk appetite. If the policy stance is dovish, market expectations for improved future liquidity will rise, and BTC and tech stocks may get a chance to rebound. But if the stance is hawkish, the market will worry again about the duration of high interest rates, and BTC may face short-term selling pressure. Remember: the market is never just trading this one rate decision, but the future direction of interest rates. My view is not to rush to bet on a one-sided market before the FOMC decision. First observe the policy statement, then watch the reaction of the dollar and US Treasury yields during the press conference, and finally wait for BTC to give a clear directional confirmation. What do you think? Will the Fed send a dovish or hawkish signal this time? Share your judgment in the comments. #BTC #比特币 #美联储 #FOMC #加密市场

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