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$ETH 这一周,四次冲顶四次被摁 $ETH 这一周在 2626-2749 的箱子里反复横跳:9/24 杀到 2626 直接 V 回来,9/25 冲 2742 被摁,9/27 摸 2722 被摁,9/28 顶 2720 被摁顺带下探 2634,9/29 冲 2749 创周内新高——然后一根长上影直接躺回 2676 收盘,现在 2672 附近装死,24 小时振幅近 100 点,涨跌幅却只有 +0.28%,过山车白坐。头顶那片 2720-2750 的供给区四次冲击四次失败,箱底 2626-2650 倒被撑得越来越瓷实。9/29 那根上影线是教科书级的诱多:新高是假动作,OI 缩水说明冲高全靠空头回补撑场面,新多根本没进场。图上划线给的就是这个剧本——反弹先看 2711、2722 两档,够不着 2749 就继续往下摁;回踩划线直接画到 2573,箱底 2626 一旦失守,量度目标就在下面候着。资金费率日均才 0.0066%,多头掏的那点钱不痛不痒,谁也不拥挤——这个位置拼的是耐心,不是情绪。
colword.std
colword.std
The outer circle is tightening with rumors everywhere. Overnight, the three major US stock indexes all fell, with the Nasdaq down 0.92%; the 10-year US Treasury yield surged to 5.27%, the first time since 2007, and Wall Street directly called it a "revaluation of everything." On 9/29, A-shares saw extremely low volume, the Shanghai Composite Index opened low at 3816, touched a high of 3843, then fell back; the three major indexes closed slightly up, with sentiment just climbing out of the freezing point. The Hong Kong stock market's Hang Seng Index dropped 0.48%, the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 1.08%, and Tencent declined 1.77%. The crypto market's liquidity is actually "booming": $BTC spot ETFs last week attracted a massive $2.39 billion, the strongest week since October last year, and yesterday saw a net inflow of $31 million; $ETH ETFs had a net inflow of $624 million over seven days, with institutions continuously buying spot. But the futures market tells a completely different story—$BTC futures positions saw a net outflow of about $580 million over six trading days, $ETH futures shrank by $120 million in a week, with leveraged funds lining up to exit. Spot is strong, futures are weak; institutions and retail investors are playing separately, so prices can only hover in place.

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