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加密跟着风险资产吃了口反弹饭,$BTC ETF 两天流出 7.46 亿美元但价格没理它,抛的是机构不是散户,散户在线上冲。 $ETH 这V字抄不抄 看图说话。$ETH 9/14 冲 2615 摔到 9/15 的 2356,两天跌了 10%,然后 9/16 到 9/18 三连阳拉回 2619,标准V字反弹。MA3 在 9/17 上穿 MA5 形成金叉,价格已经突破了 9/14 高点引出的下降压力线,多头排列初步成型。 但别急着梭哈。9/18 收盘 2619 离 2646 前高就差 27 块,一冲就到,冲不破就是双顶。资金费率从 9/16 的 0.0007% 飙到 9/18 的 0.0086%,翻了十倍,多头在加杠杆追。追高说明有信心,但也意味着一旦回撤多头踩踏会很快。9/18 成交量比 9/17 缩了一截,上涨放量不够足,这是个隐忧。 所以策略是回调做多不追高。2580 附近是 9/18 开盘价也是 MA3 支撑区,回踩到这里不破就是上车机会。止损 2470 在 9/17 开盘价下方,跌破意味着反弹结构坏了。目标先看 2700 整数关,过了再看 2850。
colword.std
colword.std
Main focus $ETH | Strategy: Buy on pullback, serving the dish first, then telling the story $ETH surged from 2356 with three consecutive bullish candles, closing at 2619 on 9/18. The song "Chinese Can Fly" fits this $ETH rebound perfectly. Buy on pullback, enter around 2580, stop loss at 2470 (below the 9/17 opening price, a structural level), targets T1 2700, T2 2850, 5x leverage, risk-reward ratio about 1:1.1 for T1 and 1:2.5 for T2. Funding rate rose from 0.0007% to 0.0086%, bullish sentiment is back but not overheated yet. Chasing highs carries much more risk than waiting for a pullback, so waiting for a dip before going up is more prudent. Super central bank week, the world is taking bitter medicine together The Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.0% in the early hours of 9/17, the first hike this year, and the dot plot hints at another hike within the year, very hawkish. ECB moved first on 9/10, and the Bank of Japan followed with a 25 basis point hike to 1.25% on 9/18. The last time the three major central banks hiked simultaneously was in 2006. This time, the hike is driven by Middle East conflict pushing oil prices rather than economic overheating; the medicine is not right but must be forced down. US stocks rose on triple witching day: Dow +0.61%, S&P +1.14%, Nasdaq +1.69%, Philadelphia Semiconductor +3.14%.

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