Anyone who has been a round knows this But tether probably fine
I spent 100โ€™s of hours writing research on tether for @Citi. @CryptoHayes missed a few key points. 1) ๐“๐ก๐ž๐ข๐ซ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ญ๐ฌ =/ ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐œ๐จ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐š๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ญ๐ฌ When tether generates $ they have a separate equity balance sheet which they donโ€™t report publicly. The numbers they disclose are under a โ€˜matchingโ€™ philosophy; theyโ€™re just showing you how their reserves are backed. The equity balance is sheet is made up of equity investments, mining operations, corporate reserves & possibly more BTC, with the rest distributed as dividends to shareholders. 2) ๐“๐ก๐ž๐ฒโ€™๐ซ๐ž ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ข๐ซ ๐ž๐ช๐ฎ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฏ๐š๐ฅ๐ฎ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž. ๐“๐ก๐ž๐ฒ ๐œ๐š๐ง ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ž๐ช๐ฎ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐ญ๐จ ๐œ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ ๐š๐ง๐ฒ ๐ ๐š๐ฉ๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ข๐ซ ๐›๐š๐ฅ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ฌ๐ก๐ž๐ž๐ญ. Tether has ~$120bn in interest yielding treasuries which have been yielding ~4% since 2023. Thatโ€™s ~$10bn in liquid PnL with little cost (150 employees), making it one of the most efficient cash generating businesses in the world. Iโ€™m guessing this would make their equity worth somewhere in the $50-100bn range. Although theyโ€™ve reported theyโ€™re looking to raise $20bn for 3% which would put them at ~$500bn+ valuation. Probably wonโ€™t materialise, and likely overvalued, but still highly valuable equity. 3) ๐๐š๐ง๐ค๐ฌ ๐จ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ข๐ ๐ง๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ž๐ซ๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ. ๐Ÿ“-๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“% ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐›๐š๐ง๐ค ๐๐ž๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐š๐ซ๐ž ๐ก๐ž๐ฅ๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ฅ๐ข๐ช๐ฎ๐ข๐ ๐š๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ญ๐ฌ, ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐จ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ“%+ ๐š๐ซ๐ž ๐ก๐ž๐ฅ๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ฌ๐ข๐ ๐ง๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐จ๐ซ๐ž ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐ช๐ฎ๐ข๐ ๐š๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ญ๐ฌ. Tether is different but holds similar qualities to a Bank in this regard, and is significantly better collateralised. A key difference is banks are backed by Lender of last resort (Central Bank) but Tether is not. TLDR: Tether isnโ€™t going insolvent, quite the opposite; they own a money printing machine.
If you donโ€™t think so, happy to buy it off you at <.99
2.987
5
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