8.20 Macroeconomic Market Analysis Good afternoon, brothers. The market has been correcting these past few days. Panic has started to set in, with the fear index dropping to 44, down from an average of 73 last week, marking the lowest since June 22. After a month of gains, a correction was inevitable. This week, two major events will impact the market, and some smart money may escape early. In the past few days, $500 million has flowed out of Bitcoin's ETF. In the early hours of Thursday, the Federal Reserve will hold a meeting to decide whether to cut interest rates in September. On Friday, Powell will give a speech, which may be bearish regarding interest rates not being cut in the face of stubborn inflation. Currently, BTC has fallen below the 60-day moving average. We will see if it can close above it today, meaning it is below the average cost of purchases made in the last two months, very close to the 99-day moving average, which has significantly reduced the risk. However, we must be cautious of a final blow: the current U.S. stock market hasn't seen a major drop. We need to prepare for the possibility that if the stock market falls sharply after Powell's speech, BTC could drop another 3-5%. If there is one last drop, approaching $110,000 would be a good buying opportunity. Given that ETH has risen significantly, with its 60-day moving average at $3,400, we should prioritize buying BTC and SOL. If ETH drops below $3,900, we will reassess whether to buy. Of course, these are just speculations; Long Brother does not make reckless guesses. We will look at the technical patterns and take it step by step! Long Brother's analysis is just a friendly reference. Adults must take responsibility for their own decisions. Investing carries risks; please invest with spare money and think independently!
Show original
19.57K
7
The content on this page is provided by third parties. Unless otherwise stated, OKX is not the author of the cited article(s) and does not claim any copyright in the materials. The content is provided for informational purposes only and does not represent the views of OKX. It is not intended to be an endorsement of any kind and should not be considered investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell digital assets. To the extent generative AI is utilized to provide summaries or other information, such AI generated content may be inaccurate or inconsistent. Please read the linked article for more details and information. OKX is not responsible for content hosted on third party sites. Digital asset holdings, including stablecoins and NFTs, involve a high degree of risk and can fluctuate greatly. You should carefully consider whether trading or holding digital assets is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.