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$BTC at $78K is a battle between two views: breakout and chase, or another failed retest. Institutional flows are improving, but 4.8% Treasury yields and FOMC uncertainty remain headwinds. The key confirmation level is $81.7K. For now, $78K–$81.7K is a transition zone. Don’t trade on “I thought so”—wait for confirmation. $ETH $ZEC #FedOctHikeOddsHit55% #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve #SECCFTCOnchainRules