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yet the probability of a rate hike soars to 90%: Who is really wrong, the market or the analysts? If you trade based on just one data point, you're already losing money. August core CPI year-over-year is 2.4%, the lowest in over 5 years. Sounds like good news, right? But CME data tells a different story: the probability of a rate hike in September is between 85% and 90%. One side says "no rush," the other says "must raise." This isn’t a bull-bear disagreement. It’s two mindsets