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ChainRider
ChainRider
🚨 The jobs market just threw the Fed a curveball. Now CPI has the final say. U.S. July nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly fell by 23K, completely missing expectations for an 80K increase. And it gets more interesting: May + June payrolls were revised down by a combined 103K. That makes this look less like a one-month glitch and more like a genuine cooling in the labor market. Markets reacted quickly, with expectations for a September rate hike falling. And for risk assets, that’s potentially good news. 📉 Treasury yields ease 📉 Dollar pressure cools 📈 Liquidity expectations improve That gives assets like AI stocks, gold, and $BTC more room to breathe. But I wouldn’t celebrate just yet. There’s still one major wildcard: inflation. And that means the next CPI report could matter even more than this jobs report. If inflation continues to cool: Weak jobs + weak inflation = less room for the Fed to stay hawkish. That could be a strong tailwind for liquidity-sensitive assets. But if oil pushes inflation higher: Weak jobs + sticky inflation = the Fed’s nightmare scenario. The economy slows, but inflation refuses to cooperate. So the baton has officially been passed. NFP delivered the warning. CPI gets the final shot. 🎯 For $BTC and the broader risk market, the next inflation print could tell us whether this is the beginning of a liquidity tailwind—or just another temporary relief rally. CPI is now the number I’m watching. 👀 #Bitcoin #CPI #NFP #FederalReserve #Crypto #Macro #Liquidity #DailyOrbit

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