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#CLARITYActStalled #CLARITYActStalled Confirmed as of July 23: Thune says the CLARITY Act won't get Senate floor time before the August recess — a major setback since analysts have consistently flagged August 7 as the last realistic gate for 2026 passage. White House adviser Patrick Witt still holds out hope for the first week of August, but even he agrees a July vote won't happen. Polymarket odds now sit around 37.5%, down from over 70% in May. The core blocker remains three interlocking disputes: ethics enforcement (Trump agreed to restrictions with a 2029 sunset, but Democrats haven't reviewed final text), AML/law enforcement concerns (Sens. Warner and Cortez Masto tied their votes to law enforcement sign-off), and stablecoin yield rules. Republicans hold 53 seats; only Gallego and Alsobrooks crossed over in committee, well short of the 7-9 Democrats needed. If the window closes, the bill doesn't die outright but likely slides into 2027 — an election year — with the SEC/CFTC's rescindable interpretive guidance the only real protection in the meantime.