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$BTC SEPTEMBER MAY BE ABOUT THE DATA, NOT THE CANDLESTICKS Bitcoin enters September with a strong August behind it, but the market still hasn't resolved the battle around $80K. That makes the next phase more interesting. BTC has already shown that buyers are willing to step in around the $77K region. At the same time, every attempt to push through the upper range has met resistance. So instead of asking whether Bitcoin is bullish or bearish, I'm watching what can finally force the range to break. Right now, the biggest candidate is macro. Friday's U.S. jobs report could significantly influence expectations around the Federal Reserve's next decision. If employment weakens meaningfully, traders could start reducing expectations for tighter policy. That could improve liquidity conditions and give risk assets more room to recover. Bitcoin would then have a chance to challenge the $80K–$81K zone again. But if the labor market remains stronger than expected, the opposite reaction could develop. Higher yields. Stronger dollar. Tighter financial conditions. More pressure on BTC and the rest of crypto. That's why September could become less about technical patterns and more about how quickly expectations change. The ETF picture also deserves attention. Spot BTC ETFs attracted roughly $924M between August 24 and 28, while spot ETH ETFs saw around $824M during the same period. That's meaningful demand. But BTC still struggled to hold above $80K. This creates an important question: Is the market absorbing institutional buying, or is resistance simply too strong right now? The answer should become clearer if price breaks out of the current range. For BTC, I'm watching: $77K — buyers need to defend it. $79.4K–$80.8K — sellers need to be absorbed. $81K+ — a sustained breakout would change the short-term picture. For ETH, I'm watching whether it can maintain relative strength while BTC consolidates. For SOL and XRP, the key is whether broader liquidity eventually reaches higher beta assets.