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1. Balanced Trader View If $SPCX delivers strong earnings and the unlocking event doesn't bring major selling pressure, the market should start focusing more on the bullish catalysts rather than constantly pricing in the downside. Some believe the negative factors are already fully absorbed, but I don't think that's confirmed yet. Having unlocked shares doesn't automatically mean everyone has to sell on Day 1—selling can happen over several sessions. The real risk is sentiment. With around 910M shares potentially available, even one negative catalyst could trigger a chain reaction and accelerate panic selling. I mentioned taking profit around 105. Now that it's at 114, I'm still not rushing. Not everyone holding is a long-term believer; many are simply watching the price.