预测市场扫尾盘的打法看到越来越多的人关注。之前在 Limitless 刷分的时候便是利用这套方法,但市场越小容量越低
比如 Polymarket、Limitless 都提供了许多对于主流币短时价格的预测,一般都是在 XX 时间结束前能否高于/低于某个价格。专门找那些 Ending Soon 的盘口,虽然这些即将结束的盘口的概率大多在 95+% 以上,但胜在风险较低且可以快速了结
之前用 Limitless 实测下来,在 99.8% 投入 ~10u,最终可以获利 0.02u(盈利 0.2%);99.1% 则可以获利 0.12u。如果能碰到一些定价错误的盘口那就是赚到了。不过,容量还是相当有限,像 Limitless 吸尾盘单个盘百来 u 就差不多到头了,所以这套打法对于预测市场的品种丰富度非常重要

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