Review $LABUBU Failed bottom-buying operation:
Profit retracement from 1WU to 1800U
I've seen a lot of successful cases, and today I'm going to talk about the failure cases, I hope my lessons can inspire you. At present, my three-stage bottom-buying operation in $LABUBU is undoubtedly a failure, and even if the price rebounds later, my operation still fails.
The core reason for the failure: excessive greed, and the overconfidence brought about by the first few successful trades, led me to make irrational actions
Review of Failed Operations:
$LABUBU When the price rose to 60M in the second stage, I sold most of my chips around 55M and locked in most of the profits. However, after that, at the three points of 45M, 37M, and 28M, I carried out three failed bottom-buying operations in succession, which led to a significant retracement of the overall profit from 1WU to 1800U
45M bottom-buying logic: It is believed that Dog Zhuang still holds a large number of chips, and the subjective judgment has been fully washed, and the probability of returning to the previous high in the short term is higher.
37M bottom-buying logic: the hourly line shows a sideways stabilization signal, try to enter the left side to win higher returns.
28M bottom-buying logic: from 32M to 28M in the process of falling significantly, judging that the dog village is carrying out the last wave of panic shuffling, intended to wash out the unfirm chips, so the left side of the market again.
The common denominator of these three operations is that they are all left-side transactions, the pursuit of high returns, and in the final analysis, greed
Other lessons
Ignoring the characteristics of the market: $LABUBU is a project in which the winter card participates, and the urine nature of the violent washing of the winter plate is well known. In this kind of plate, trading on the right side is the safer option. Although the right side may make less money, it can effectively avoid losses.
Insufficient analysis of the characteristics of the subject: $LABUBU The trend is highly correlated with WEB2 and is greatly affected by the news surface. Recently, the official 618 surprise replenishment of Bubble Mart has led to a sharp drop in the price of the secondary market, and the scalper market is full of mourning; At the same time, the media used the high-level reduction of stock holdings to make a fuss about FUD to further suppress the stock price. Although in the long run, the suppression of scalpers will help improve the brand image of Pop Mart and allow consumers who really love IP to buy products at official prices, the short-term FUD has a significant impact on market sentiment.
About the future of $LABUBU
Pop Mart is expected to become a big IP for long-term development, and $LABUBU also has the potential to become a long-term target. (However, the current market environment is impetuous, and I personally do not want to grow 🤣🤣🤣 slowly with it)
Summary of failures
Position management error: At 60M, my estimated target is near the previous high of 70M, theoretically there is no need to eat the exact increase of 60-70M, at least 85-90% of the position should be sold. But in reality, I only sold 70% and missed the opportunity to lock in more profits.
Lack of trading discipline: Buying bottoms on the left side many times is too aggressive, especially after the first left trade fails, and still continues to operate on the left. Especially in the winter session, trading on the right side is a more sensible choice.
A little insight
I hope my lesson will give you some inspiration. Recently, the market liquidity has been extremely poor, and it is difficult to find a second-stage opportunity to double in the short term. The next two days were the weekend, and I played outside for a week without any operation, and continued to "sit and sit" after returning home on Monday
It's not terrible to fail, it's scary to not know the reason for failure and make the same mistake again
GN, $LABUBU's diamond hands have been tortured enough to choke on this wave of mentality, and the 60M three breakthroughs have failed: the front double top met the battle, and today it was blocked by the Pump official push. Yesterday afternoon to the evening has been watching, the bookmaker in the 50-60 range shipments obviously. I originally thought that the pullback to 45 would rise again, but I didn't expect the Pump official push to be blocked this morning, and now the anti-Pump sentiment is gradually heating up, and the Pump series of new coins generally fell greater
Today it is mainly dominated by retail investors, and bookmakers only ship small quantities. I think there's another wave to follow, but we may have to wait for the Pump news to be clear. Looking back on my operation in LABUBU, I am quite satisfied. Although I was optimistic from the beginning, I didn't take it, and I have reduced a lot of positions at the highs, and it is only a profit drawdown at present, so the mentality is relatively stable
At present, the sustainability of meme coins on Solana has weakened significantly, and in addition to the meme itself, the market is hanging high like a sword of Damocles and may fall down at any time. The dog village also has to be improvised, dealing with all kinds of unexpected situations
1
559
The content on this page is provided by third parties. Unless otherwise stated, OKX is not the author of the cited article(s) and does not claim any copyright in the materials. The content is provided for informational purposes only and does not represent the views of OKX. It is not intended to be an endorsement of any kind and should not be considered investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell digital assets. To the extent generative AI is utilized to provide summaries or other information, such AI generated content may be inaccurate or inconsistent. Please read the linked article for more details and information. OKX is not responsible for content hosted on third party sites. Digital asset holdings, including stablecoins and NFTs, involve a high degree of risk and can fluctuate greatly. You should carefully consider whether trading or holding digital assets is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.