🚨 CT is full of noise about Uptober...
Everyone thinks everything will moon but they’re wrong
I analyzed 6 years of the cycle and I know what’s coming
Here’s my full Uptober playbook and what to expect 👇🧵
Uptober in two days gave noticeable upsides and almost renewed the market's ATH
The cycle is developing according to a familiar pattern we've seen before
Everything looks like a classic bull phase, the market shows no signs of reversal
Yes, this is not the end of the upward move yet, but it's time to be prepared already
The main downside of Uptober - no one knows when the impulse will end
- In 2017 the altseason lasted ~40 days
- In 2021 - around a month
The trend is clear: each cycle shortens the window for making profits
2025 could become the shortest altseason ever
But it's also too early to panic: key overheating signals are still silent
No top indicator shows a trend reversal
Personally, I'm not selling and will wait for clearer reversal signals
There's still time to catch the upside, but don't put on rose-colored glasses
Another reason not to rush - we haven't completed the full capital rotation cycle:
$BTC -> $ETH -> large caps -> mid caps -> micro caps
Right now the market is circling around $BTC and $ETH, high caps still hold focus
A full-scale alt rally is ahead
I constantly keep an eye on:
1. BTC.D
2. Altseason Index
3. TOTAL2 behaviour
Their behavior shows when capital starts flowing out of bitcoin into alts
They correlate well and that's how top pumps are caught
Yes, the noise around Uptober is breaking records, but that’s also a sign to be cautious
The louder the talk about Xs, the faster smart money takes profit
I also took off some risk and moved to stables, the rest is still in tops and alts
Such a balance allows catching growth without becoming someone else's liquidity
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