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Bitcoin Is Holding $77K. But The Bond Market May Decide What Comes Next.
$BTC has been surprisingly resilient.
After gaining roughly 25% in August, Bitcoin entered September around the $77K area despite rising oil prices and growing expectations for another Fed rate hike.
That is the part of this market I am watching closely.
Because Bitcoin is no longer trading in isolation.
The U.S. 10Y yield is pushing higher while crude oil is above $95.
Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding risk assets.
Higher oil prices create another inflation problem.
And stronger inflation expectations make the Fed's job harder.
That puts $BTC in a very different battle.
$80K remains the obvious upside level.
But I am more interested in what happens around $77K.
If Bitcoin continues defending this zone while yields remain elevated, that would show genuine underlying demand.
If $77K breaks decisively, the market could start testing lower liquidity zones.
My radar is also watching relative strength.
$ETH needs to hold its structure.
$SOL remains one of the strongest high-beta assets.
$XRP continues attracting ETF demand.
$BNB, $SUI and $APT are important L1 signals.
$AVAX, $NEAR and $SEI can tell us whether traders are willing to take additional risk.
In DeFi, $AAVE, $UNI and $PENDLE are worth monitoring.
For infrastructure, $LINK and $ONDO remain on my radar.
And $TAO, $RENDER and $FET will tell us whether the AI sector is ready to participate again.
But the biggest catalyst may not come from crypto at all.
Friday's U.S. jobs report could change the rate narrative quickly.
So for me, the question is no longer simply:
“Can Bitcoin reach $80K?”
The better question is:
Can $BTC hold $77K while macro conditions are getting harder?
That answer could define the next move for the entire market.
#NFPTestsSeptHikeOdds #RobinhoodChainRWAvsMemes #DellAIServerBeat
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