Publikovat

BTC THE $80K CEILING MAY FINALLY BE LOSING ITS GRIP Bitcoin has spent the past few sessions repeatedly testing the $80K area without producing a clean breakout. At first, it looked like simple resistance. But the options market may explain part of why BTC kept getting pulled back toward this zone. On August 28, roughly $6.4B in BTC options expired, with significant positioning around the $75K and $80K strikes. Ahead of expiration, market-maker hedging can amplify price movement around heavily positioned strikes, creating a situation where Bitcoin repeatedly gets drawn back toward those levels. That expiration has now passed. So the question changes. Instead of asking whether BTC can escape the $80K options zone, we're now watching what happens without that same expiration pressure in the background. $81K–$82K IS THE NEXT TEST Bitcoin has already reached around $81.3K, suggesting buyers are willing to push beyond $80K. But an intraday breakout isn't enough. The confirmation I'm watching is whether BTC can establish acceptance between $81K and $82K with stronger volume. If buyers can hold that area rather than immediately giving it back, the market structure becomes much more constructive. The next level I'd then watch is around $84K. WHAT WOULD INVALIDATE THE IDEA? The risk is another rejection. If BTC pushes above $81K but quickly falls back below $80K, that would suggest sellers are still controlling the upper range. In that scenario, the options expiry wouldn't have solved the underlying problem. It would simply mean the market is still struggling to absorb supply around the highs. That's why I'm less interested in the first breakout candle and more interested in what happens after the breakout. THE SETUP HAS CHANGED Before the expiry, $80K was surrounded by heavy derivatives positioning. Now that the settlement is behind us, price has more room to reveal genuine spot demand. So I'm watching three things: $80K previous ceiling and immediate support $81K–$82K confirmation zone $84K next upside target