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[Pharaoh's Market Watch] How does Pharaoh view tonight's non-farm payroll data? Everyone is asking Pharaoh how to bet on tonight's non-farm payroll data—will Bitcoin surge or crash? Pharaoh says directly: the data will most likely be weak tonight. The Bitcoin script is "dip first, then rebound." Don't chase near 64800; wait for a pullback to buy in more securely. Let's first look at tonight's data expectations. The market expects about 83,000 new jobs added in July, with the unemployment rate steady at 4.2%. But some institutions have started to call for a downturn. Vanguard Group, based on 401(k) pension data, estimates only about 18,000 new jobs in July. ADP data has already given a warning signal: only 44,000 private sector jobs added in July, far below the expected 75,000. If tonight's data really disappoints, rate hike expectations will cool further, the dollar will weaken, and Bitcoin will get a short breather. But the market consensus is just over 80,000, and the probability of below 60,000 is even higher. Fed Governor Cook also added fuel this week, saying if inflation doesn't come down, she is ready to support rate hikes. So how will Bitcoin move? Chasing longs here is just helping others carry the coffin. Combining the chart and macro expectations, Pharaoh leans toward a "dip first, then rebound" scenario—after the data release, first pull back to 64000-64300 to confirm support, then rebound to 65000-65500. If the data is significantly below expectations, it might even surge directly to 66000. But until 65000 breaks out with volume, don't rush in. Wait for the data to land and the market to digest the first wave of emotions before acting—this is a hundred times more reliable than betting on direction. You can short blindly above 65000; a quick 500-1000 points profit is no problem! Remember, good trades are waited for, not chased. Don't rush to jump in tonight; wait for the shoe to drop before making a move. Those who rush will lose first. Follow Pharaoh, and wealth won't get lost! $BTC $ETH $SNDK