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Crypto Derivatives 20 March 2025

Keep up with the latest in crypto market commentary as we share the insights from our institutional research partners.

In this edition, we share the latest crypto derivatives weekly from Block Scholes.

While not delivering a complete recovery rally back to January’s all-time high, this week has at least seen a pause in the intense and persistent collapse in risk appetite. Futures yields continue to fall and funding rates trade negative. However, the skew towards OTM puts pricedin by volatility smiles across the term structure was briefly erased as the lower level of delivered volatility has caused a dis-inversion in the term structure of at-the-money implied volatility. Front-end volatility levels for BTC and ETH trade below 45% and 60% respectively — the bottom of their respective ranges in March.

ATM Implied Volatility, 1-Month Tenor

BTC Options

BTC SVI ATM Implied Volatility

Short dated volatility levels fall to 45%, their lowest levels since the period of repeated inversion began in March.

BTC 25-Delta Risk Reversal

BTC’s skew briefly traded positive, in favour of OTM calls, before reversing direction after spot slips

ETH Options

ETH SVI ATM Implied Volatility

The dis-inversion of the term structure continues as 7d tenor volatility falls below 60%

ETH 25-Delta Risk Reversal

Skew recovers from its steeper skew towards OTM puts, but remains tilted towards downside protection

Market Composite Volatility Surface

Listed Expiry Volatility Smiles

Constant Maturity Volatility Smiles

The information provided in this document by Block Scholes Ltd is for informational purposes only and does not necessarily represent the views of OKX. Any additional disclaimers issued by these third parties are also applicable and should be considered as part of this document.

This report is not intended as financial advice, investment recommendation, or an endorsement of specific trading strategies. The contents of this report, including but not limited to any graphs, charts, and numerical data, are provided “as is” without warranty of any kind, express or implied. The warranties disclaimed include but are not limited to performance, merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, accuracy, omissions, completeness, currentness, and delays.

The cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable, subject to substantial market risks including significant price fluctuations. The strategies, opinions, and analyses included are based on information available at the time of writing and may change without notice. They are also based on certain assumptions and historical data that may not be accurate or applicable in the future. Therefore, reliance on this report for the purpose of making investment decisions is at your own risk.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any data or information contained in this report. We are not responsible for any losses or damages arising from the use of this report, including but not limited to, lost profits or investment losses.

Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The inclusion of any specific cryptocurrencies or trading strategies does not constitute an endorsement or recommendation by OKX.

Friskrivningsklausul
Detta innehåll tillhandahålls endast i informationssyfte och kan omfatta produkter som inte är tillgängliga i din region. Det är inte avsett att ge (i) investeringsrådgivning eller en investeringsrekommendation, (ii) ett erbjudande eller en uppmaning att köpa, sälja eller inneha krypto/digitala tillgångar, eller (iii) finansiell, redovisningsmässig, juridisk eller skatterelaterad rådgivning. Innehav av krypto/digitala tillgångar, inklusive stablecoins, innebär en hög grad av risk och kan variera kraftigt. Du bör noga överväga om handel med eller innehav av krypto/digitala tillgångar är lämpligt för dig med hänsyn till din ekonomiska situation. Rådgör med din juridiska/skatte-/investeringsrådgivare om frågor som rör dina specifika omständigheter. Information (inklusive marknadsdata och statistisk information, i förekommande fall) som förekommer i detta inlägg är endast avsedd som allmän information. Även om all rimlig omsorg har iakttagits vid framställningen av dessa data och grafer, tas inget ansvar eller skuld för eventuella sakfel eller utelämnanden häri.

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