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The risk-free trade in crypto just got flipped on its head.
For 157 days straight the 3 month $BTC futures basis has been trading below 2 year Treasury yields. That’s only happened once before in history.
What does that mean in plain English? The "safe" way to make money with $BTC, borrowing cheap, going long futures, and clipping the spread, isn’t paying anymore. Treasuries are paying more with less risk.
So it’s bearish for leverage and it’s bearish for volumes. The easy arbitrage money is drying up because everyone tried the same trade and competed the edge away.
But flip the lens and this is actually bullish. Markets mature when dumb free money disappears. When the basis can’t just print yield by itself, you’re left with real demand, real positioning, and real conviction.
$BTC isn’t a free yield machine right now. It’s an asset that has to earn its place against bonds.
That’s not a weakness. That’s growth.
#EarningsWeekAhead #USJapanYenIntervention #30YrYieldTopOrStart $SOL $KAITO $OKB
Zastrzeżenie: Treść na OKX Orbiter ma charakter wyłącznie informacyjny. Dowiedz się więcej
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