2026.08.05 Midday Crypto Market Brief #财报观察员：Mixed Earnings, Unlocking Approaching! What’s Next for SpaceX? 1. Mainstream Coin Market Overview (as of August 5, 12:50) Overall crypto market cap at $2.28 trillion, 24h change +0.7%, market supply fluctuating, strong wait-and-see sentiment 1. BTC Bitcoin: Current price $64,300, 24H +0.91%, holding above $64,000 level, intraday support at $63,800, resistance at $64,700, Bitcoin market dominance rising at 56.5% 2. ETH Ethereum: Current price $1,868, 24H slight rise of 0.4%, weaker trend than BTC, mainly correlated movement, no independent rally, support at $1,850, resistance at $1,890 3. Main Altcoins Show Divergence • Strong: BNB (+1.65%), DOT, AVAX, SOL (+0.77%) gaining strength • Weak: ADA, XRP, DOGE slightly retreating, MEME coins switching quickly between hot and cold 4. Market Fear & Greed Index at 27, in fear zone, funds mainly buying spot dips and short-term contract speculation 2. Network-wide Contract Liquidation Data (24h) Total contract liquidation amount $215 million, over 78,000 traders liquidated • Long liquidations $125 million, short liquidations $89.64 million, recent choppy market mainly triggering long stop-losses • BTC liquidations $37.53 million, ETH liquidations $35.8 million, largest single liquidation ETH contract at $3.91 million • Binance accounts for 52% of liquidations, the core exchange for clearing 3. Macro Core News 1. Fed Expectations CME rate tools show market pricing in 88% chance of September rate cut; institutions believe rate cut will directly benefit risk assets and cryptocurrencies; Fed officials maintain high rates to fight inflation, no short-term rate cut action, market driven by expectations causing volatility. 2. Geopolitical Easing US-Iran diplomatic tensions cooling, safe-haven funds withdrawing from gold and BTC, shifting to short-term trading, core reason for BTC stabilization and rebound. 3. US Treasury yields slightly down, Nasdaq volatile but closed positive, crypto assets follow US stocks with slight premium. 4. Industry Major Developments 1. BlackRock Launches Tokenized Fund in Europe BlackRock, together with JPMorgan’s institutions, launched tokenized currency funds in 15 European countries, $311 billion assets settled on-chain within 24 hours, accelerating traditional asset managers’ blockchain asset deployment, positive for institutional capital inflow expectations. 2. Binance Launches New Bitcoin Staking Loan Product 30-day interest-free collateralized loans with no price liquidation trigger during the period, reducing short-term cash-out pressure from holders, easing spot sell-off pressure. 3. US Lawmakers Demand SEC Crackdown on Trump MEME Coin Due to nearly 1 million investors losing over $3.8 billion, regulators intensify investigations on meme tokens, short-term pressure and cooling on MEME sector. 4. Coldcard Cold Wallet Vulnerability Update: Firmware fully patched, on-chain stolen asset transfers nearly halted, security panic largely digested. 5. Market Summary & Short-term Observations 1. Bitcoin is rising on geopolitical easing + rate cut expectations but volume hasn’t significantly increased, a supply-driven rebound, avoid chasing highs; 2. ETH lacks independent momentum, short-term trading should follow BTC’s trend; 3. Altcoin rotation speeds up, public chain sector (DOT, AVAX) offers better cost-performance than MEME and low-tier coins; 4. Key time window: This week’s US CPI inflation data will directly affect Fed rate cut pricing, the biggest market trigger this week; 5. Trading advice: Buy spot dips at support, strictly control leverage on contracts, avoid heavy overnight positions.

2026.08.04 Cryptocurrency Midday News #从降息到加息，联储分歧全公开 1. Real-time Market Prices of Major Coins (24H) • BTC Bitcoin: $63740, up +0.44%, dipped to $62643 intraday before rebounding and surging, briefly breaking above $64000 at early morning then fluctuating downward • ETH Ethereum: $1864, slight decline of 0.32%, weaker trend than Bitcoin, pressured and oscillating at high levels • Strong Altcoins: AVAX (+4.52%), DOT (+1.77%), ATOM (+7.37%) leading gains; ADA slightly weaker • Overall Market Cap: Total market cap $2.27 trillion, slight daily increase of 1.1%, Bitcoin dominance at 56%, clear signs of market supply-demand battle 2. Core Data on Contract Liquidations 24-hour total contract liquidations across the network between $242 million and $287 million, with both longs and shorts shaken out: 1. BTC liquidations about $82.31 million, short liquidations slightly exceeding longs, low-level sell-off clearing short positions 2. ETH liquidations $59.08 million, over 63% are short liquidations, rebound market crushing short leverage 3. Over 67,000 traders liquidated in total, ETH saw a single large liquidation order of $24.37 million, concentrated short-term leverage risk release 3. Major Macroeconomic News (Direct Market Impact) 1. Fed Officials' Statements: Fed's third-ranking official Williams stated current rates are in a reasonable range, predicting inflation will continue cooling in the second half of the year, US Treasury yields falling, providing marginal positive support for crypto assets 2. Geopolitical Easing Positive: US signals easing, cancels Iran airstrike plans, safe-haven funds outflow, risk assets broadly recover, core trigger for BTC bottom rebound 3. US Stock Market Nasdaq up 1.77%, tech stocks strong, but crypto correlation weak, funds waiting for this week's US inflation data release 4. Industry Breaking News 1. Major Cold Wallet Security Incident (Industry Shock) Canada's Coldcard hardware wallet exposed a fatal underlying vulnerability, random number defect allows private key cracking, over 5,000 offline cold wallets stolen, totaling 1,755 BTC, equivalent to $110 million (about ¥743 million RMB) Manufacturer urgently pushed firmware fix, existing cold wallet holders rushed to upgrade firmware, market panic caused BTC to drop to intraday lows 2. Capital Flows Bitcoin spot ETF reversed daily fund flow, net inflow $498 million, ending consecutive days of redemptions, institutional funds slightly returning Morgan Stanley's spot ETH and SOL ETFs operating normally, traditional financial institutions continue crypto deployment 3. Regulatory Updates US Senate CLARITY crypto bill remains stalled, SEC states if bill fails, it will directly issue crypto spot trading regulatory rules, mid-to-long term regulatory expectations tighten 5. Market Summary & Short-term Focus 1. Bitcoin relies on geopolitical easing + Fed dovish stance to form a V-shaped reversal, $62600 is short-term strong support, resistance at $64200; 2. Ethereum trend weak, mainly linked to BTC, unlikely to have a unilateral rally without independent positive factors; 3. Short-term risks: aftermath of cold wallet security incident, US inflation data this week, concentrated high-leverage contract liquidations, suitable for light positions and ultra-short trades, avoid high leverage and heavy positions; 4. Opportunities: Increased short-term fund attention on public chain altcoins like ATOM, AVAX, suitable for small position swing trading.

Take a small profit on the trend orders within the group

#30-year US Treasury Bonds, Top or New Starting Point? Crypto Market Midday Quick Report on August 3, 2026 1. Real-time Prices of Major Coins (as of midday) • BTC Bitcoin: Current price $63,576, 24h change +1.15%, previously dipped to $62,684 support before rebounding, Bitcoin market dominance at 58.04% • ETH Ethereum: Current price $1,889, 24h change +2.18%, outperforming BTC, showing clear short-term elasticity release • Major Altcoins: XRP +2.71%, SOL +2.68%, ADA surged 5.23% in one day; MEME token BLESS surged 98% in 24h, short-term speculative sentiment heating up • Total crypto market cap at $2.16 trillion, derivatives trading volume significantly increased 2. Core Data on Liquidations In the past 24 hours, total network leveraged liquidations reached $606 million, 83% were short liquidations, indicating a typical short squeeze market. Concentrated stop-losses on low short positions pushed the market rebound, with frequent short-term wick and shakeout actions. 3. Macro Highlights: Federal Reserve Rate Decision (Key Market Impact) 1. Fed kept benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.5%-3.75%, with 9 votes in favor and 3 dissenting votes—the highest number of hawkish dissents in recent years; 2. Chair Powell stated no forward guidance on future rates, citing inflation resilience and energy inflation risks from rising oil prices, leaving the possibility of a September rate hike open; 3. US Treasury yields slightly retreated, risk asset sentiment improved, directly driving this round of crypto price rebound; market pricing a 68% chance of a September hike. 4. Global Regulatory Updates 1. US Senate again postponed vote on the "CLARITY" crypto bill, cooling short-term compliance expectations; New York sued prediction market platform Kalshi, strictly regulating gambling-like derivatives trading; 2. Russia expanded Bitcoin mining ban to Moscow’s core areas, prompting global hash rate redistribution; 3. EU MiCA compliance regulation normalizes, accelerating clearance of small and medium exchanges, with funds continuing to concentrate on leading compliant targets. 5. Large Holdings & On-chain News 1. Trump Media sold another 2,628 BTC, large holder sell-off suppressing upside gains; 2. Ethereum ecosystem on-chain transfer activity rebounded, with slight inflows into RWA tokenized government bonds sector; 3. Bitcoin spot ETF funds show divergence: legacy products see redemptions, leading spot ETFs have slight net inflows, increasing institutional disagreement. 6. Short-term Market Summary 1. The market movement is a short squeeze recovery rebound, not a trend reversal; BTC 64,000 and ETH 1,920 are first resistance levels; 2. Fed hawkish dissent suppresses bulls’ highs, likely returning to range-bound oscillation after data release; 3. Short-term trading cautions: avoid chasing high leverage, always use stop-loss in wick-prone markets, reduce high-frequency entries in choppy conditions.

2026.07.31 Midday Crypto News Flash #PCE month-on-month turns negative, GDP growth slows to 1.5% 1. Main Market Overview (UTC+8 Midday) • BTC: Around 64850U, 24h increase +1.5%, three consecutive days of gains; short-term resistance 65200-66000U, support at 63800U • ETH: Around 1923U, 24h increase +1.1%; resistance at 1960U, support at 1880U • SOL: 74.6U (+1.5%), XRP: 1.08U (+1.1%) • Total crypto market cap 2.30 trillion, 24h trading volume 58.8 billion; Fear & Greed Index 28, remaining in fear zone 2. Macro Highlights [Federal Reserve Focus] 1. July rate decision holds rates at 3.50%-3.75%, vote 9:3, three members favor a 25bp hike, rare divergence since 2016, signaling hawkish bias. 2. Official Walsh states: 2% inflation target will not be relaxed, dispelling market’s long-term easing hopes; market slightly raises probability of September rate hike. 3. US June PCE price index declines month-on-month, easing short-term inflation concerns; US Treasury yields slightly fall, indirectly benefiting risk assets. 3. Capital & ETF Dynamics 1. US stock BTC spot ETF outflows significantly narrow; ETH spot ETF maintains net inflows for multiple days, institutions show mid-term bullish sentiment on Ethereum. 2. On-chain whale activity: A BTC withdrawal worth about $80.94 million from exchanges signals accumulation; simultaneously, loss-making large holders are selling, increasing long-short divergence. 3. 24h contract liquidations network-wide: short liquidations exceed longs, short-term shorts are being cleaned out, caution for secondary pressure after rebound. 4. Industry Hotspots 1. L2 sector and XRP ecosystem tokens lead market gains in 24h, continued rotation among small and mid caps, mainstream BTC gains weaker than altcoins. 2. Offshore regulation remains cautious, multiple countries continue studying digital asset compliance frameworks, no major new regulations implemented yet. 3. Middle East geopolitical tensions persist, oil prices fluctuate, continuously indirectly affecting global risk appetite. 5. Key Market Summary Short-term market recovery relies on falling US Treasury yields and short covering; internal Fed hawkish divergence remains the biggest risk. The rebound is a repair rally, not yet a confirmed reversal. Key focus: whether BTC can hold above 66000; if pressure persists, a pullback is still needed.

2026.07.30 Midday Crypto News Brief #美联储三票主张加息，今晚PCE成新看点 I. Real-time Market Overview 1. Total market cap is $2.27 trillion, down slightly by 0.1% in 24 hours, with total market volume at $65.2 billion; the Fear & Greed Index is 28, indicating a panic zone. 2. BTC current price near $63,900, trading in a narrow range; 24-hour change slightly up 0.18%, BTC market dominance remains at 56%. Key levels: resistance at 64,300–66,000; support at 63,600 and 61,500. 3. ETH current price near $1,915, 24-hour change +0.24%; Key levels: resistance at 1,950 and 2,010; support at 1,880 and 1,840. 4. Mainstream sectors diverge: DOT and XRP ecosystems slightly strengthen; most altcoins follow the market sideways, lacking independent rallies. II. Major Macro News (Core Impact) 1. FOMC rate decision: interest rates held steady at 3.50%-3.75% In line with market expectations, but three members voted for a rate hike, signaling a hawkish stance. The market has delayed rate cut expectations, funds remain cautious, making it difficult for risk assets to rally strongly. Market focus shifts to the September FOMC meeting. 2. US Treasury yields fluctuate slightly, the US dollar index stabilizes, temporarily limiting crypto asset rebound potential. III. Capital & Contract Data 1. Total liquidations across the network in the past 24 hours reached approximately $709 million, with long liquidations accounting for over 62%, indicating a washout of clustered long positions. 2. US stock BTC spot ETFs have seen net outflows for four consecutive trading days, totaling $526 million outflows over four days; in contrast, ETH spot ETFs maintain small net inflows, showing institutional capital differentiation by coin. 3. ETH whales transferred about $430 million in chips within 24 hours, mostly wallet-to-wallet reallocations without large-scale dumping on exchanges. 4. Derivatives positions: ETH long contracts increased to 66%, leverage longs are gathering again, raising short-term volatility and washout risks. IV. Global Regulatory Developments 1. The EU MiCA regulation is fully enforced and continues to impact the market; many small and medium platforms are shutting down EU operations, driving ongoing industry compliance cleanup. 2. Russia’s crypto law will officially take effect on September 1, establishing a licensed trading framework and banning cryptocurrencies as legal payment methods. V. Market Summary 1. The Fed’s hawkish bias suppresses large-scale rallies; the market is in a summer liquidity lull, with spot trading volume declining in July, likely maintaining a range-bound pattern. 2. BTC must hold above 63,600 to have further upside potential; breaking below 63,600 support opens downside space. 3. ETH long positions are crowded; short-term caution is advised against leverage washouts. Ultra-short-term traders should strictly control positions to avoid chasing highs.

Complete Interpretation of the Federal Reserve's July Meeting 1. Basic Timing (Key Points) Decision Announcement: July 30, 02:00 Beijing Time Chair Powell's Press Conference: 02:30 Key Point: The interest rate figure itself is not important; the tone of the press conference speech > the original decision text. Often there are "initial rise then fall, initial fall then reversal" sharp moves. 2. Current Market Expectations Benchmark Interest Rate Range: 3.50%-3.75% 1. Hold rates steady: about 64% 2. Unexpected 25 basis point hike: about 36% This year's special difficulty: the new chair abandons fixed forward guidance, will not give policy direction ahead of September, making the market more prone to violent fluctuations. 3. Three Scenarios Corresponding to Crypto Market Movements #美联储即将公布利率决议 Scenario 1: Hold rates steady + Hawkish speech (highest probability) Keywords: Inflation remains sticky, high rates maintained longer, no discussion of rate cuts ✅ Market Impact: Short-term slight rebound followed by pressure downward; USD strengthens, BTC and ETH pull back; altcoins fall more than majors. Contracts tend to concentrate on long liquidations, beware of a bull trap on the spike. Scenario 2: Hold rates steady + Dovish speech Keywords: Inflation continues to cool, rate cuts may be evaluated later ✅ Market Impact: Risk sentiment warms, BTC holds above 64500, ETH rebounds to challenge 1960, funds slightly flow back into small caps. Scenario 3: Unexpected 25 basis point hike (Black Swan) ✅ Market Impact: Across-the-board crash, rapid break of key supports, massive leveraged liquidations in chain, short-term avoid bottom fishing. 4. Underlying Logic (Simple Plain Language) 1. Rate hike / Hawkish = Tightening liquidity USD and US Treasury yields rise, funds withdraw from high-risk assets like crypto, bearish for crypto. 2. Rate cut expectation / Dovish = Expectation of liquidity easing More money in the market, funds willing to take risk, bullish for BTC and ETH. Additional: The market trades on future expectations, not current rates. Even if no hike, if the tone is hawkish, prices still fall. 5. Three Pitfalls Short-Term Traders Must Watch 1. Do not heavily bet on direction before the news Historical FOMC often has two-way spikes, both longs and shorts liquidated. 2. Volatility rhythm: 02:00 Decision → first rapid reaction; 02:30 Chair speech → real trend emerges, often reverses the first wave. 3. ETH is much more volatile than BTC; volatility on decision night is usually greater, contract risk control priority should be raised. 6. Current Key Price References BTC Resistance: 64500 | Strong resistance 65300 Support: 63000 | Strong support 62300 ETH Resistance: 1960 | Strong resistance 2020 Support: 1865 | Strong support 1810