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九烨加密轮
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Macro events to watch in September, with a rate hike probability exceeding 60%: should you increase your position or flee?
1. On September 4th at 8:30 PM Beijing time, the non-farm payroll data is expected to be +55,000. If the actual figure exceeds this, indicating an overheating economy, the probability of a rate hike in September will gain additional momentum. Currently, the rate hike probability has surged to 68%.
2. On September 17th, the FOMC decision will be announced at 2 AM. Federal Reserve Chair Wash will declare whether to raise rates or keep the current rate at 3.5%-3.75%. If a rate hike occurs, the market will definitely experience a sharp pullback. This will be the perfect opportunity for us to place spot orders and increase positions, which is exactly the chance Brother Jiu has been waiting for.
3. The "CLARITY Act" on September 16th, also known as the Clarity Act, will have a vote at 2:15 AM. It requires 60 votes to pass, but market predictions show less than a 20% chance of approval, so it is very likely to be postponed again this year.
The third point should act as a variable, fluctuating according to market needs, similar to the repeated back-and-forth over whether Trump would be elected US president, causing repeated swings and harvesting. Note: the overall trend is positive, and any sharp adjustments are opportunities to get on board.
#FedRateHikeProbabilityRisesTo68%
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