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九烨加密轮
九烨加密轮
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小非农爆冷门,加息有望吗? 1、昨天晚上的小非农数据不及预期,这次好了给9月份加息的预期降降温,$BTC 的价格昨天开始走弱,小时图上出现了下降趋势,而其他主流代币也同步下行,达到了近期低点,这就是市场的预期反应,而一旦数据公布,又出现回升。 2、小非农可以作为大非农的参考数据,但是从今年的数据上来看,只有两个月有正向反馈,大多时候都是数据背离,接下来还是要重点关注9月4日的大非农数据。 3、交易策略上:逢低买入,我打算把仓位逐步推到80%-100%,整个九月份就是加仓月,我坚定认为现在是熊市底部和牛市初期。 4、$ETH 关注2330U,BTC74.6K。 #非农就业数据 #加仓ETH
九烨加密轮
九烨加密轮
Macro events to watch in September, with a rate hike probability exceeding 60%: should you increase your position or flee? 1. On September 4th at 8:30 PM Beijing time, the non-farm payroll data is expected to be +55,000. If the actual figure exceeds this, indicating an overheating economy, the probability of a rate hike in September will gain additional momentum. Currently, the rate hike probability has surged to 68%. 2. On September 17th, the FOMC decision will be announced at 2 AM. Federal Reserve Chair Wash will declare whether to raise rates or keep the current rate at 3.5%-3.75%. If a rate hike occurs, the market will definitely experience a sharp pullback. This will be the perfect opportunity for us to place spot orders and increase positions, which is exactly the chance Brother Jiu has been waiting for. 3. The "CLARITY Act" on September 16th, also known as the Clarity Act, will have a vote at 2:15 AM. It requires 60 votes to pass, but market predictions show less than a 20% chance of approval, so it is very likely to be postponed again this year. The third point should act as a variable, fluctuating according to market needs, similar to the repeated back-and-forth over whether Trump would be elected US president, causing repeated swings and harvesting. Note: the overall trend is positive, and any sharp adjustments are opportunities to get on board. #FedRateHikeProbabilityRisesTo68%

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