
Post
samha ☺️
$BTC reclaimed 63K to start August as US stocks opened strong, but I am not calling this a breakout yet. It feels more like relief than conviction.
Equities are steady, oil is rolling over, and risk appetite is creeping back. Crypto is trying to follow, but the backdrop is still messy. Liquidity is thin, ETF flows are all over the place, and a Coldcard firmware vulnerability just cost holders tens of millions across several attacks. That does not compromise Bitcoin itself, but it is a sharp reminder that operational risk lives right next to market risk and it keeps people cautious.
On the institutional side nothing has stopped. Strategy is doing what it always does, selling Bitcoin and using the proceeds to buy back preferred shares. BlackRock is pushing further into tokenized cash products on chain. So the plumbing keeps getting built even while prices chop. We also saw DEX volume share hit a new all time high in July, which tells you money is still moving on chain instead of sitting in cash.
How I am reading it: we are in a mid cycle digestion. Bitcoin is testing the area around the 200 week moving average to see if it can hold as real support. Ethereum is consolidating with quiet accumulation underneath. Solana, XRP and BNB are moving with the broader tape but are not leading on their own. Cardano looks relatively strong on roadmap updates. Algo, Injective and Ethena are picking up selective interest. Link, Polkadot, Avalanche and Dogecoin will swing hard with any change in risk sentiment. Even Hype and Uniswap are just reflecting the same liquidity and positioning we see everywhere else.
This is not a green light for a sustained rally. August has a weak track record for Bitcoin, ETF demand has been inconsistent, and we still have the CLARITY Act timeline hanging over us plus earnings from Circle and others coming up. Add the geopolitical noise around Iran and you have plenty of reasons to stay measured.#PalantirQ2Earnings #BigTechEarningsWatch #30YrYieldTopOrStart
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