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Hashmeta_x
The Macro Setup
Last year, it was a tariff tweet.
This year, the risks are stacked differently:
• 10-year Treasury yield: 5.31%, near multi-decade highs
• 30-year yield: 5.686%
• Iranian attacks in the Strait of Hormuz pushed Brent above $101
• 10x leverage wiped out yesterday 97% longs
The anniversary isn't just psychological. It's a real calendar risk crowded longs, thin liquidity, and a market that hasn't recovered from its last worst day.
CPI drops October 14. That's the next detonator.
Hashmeta_x
Last year, October 10 was the unforgettable day in crypto history.
$BTC crashed from $122,000 to 19 billion in leveraged positions were wiped out. 1.6 million traders were liquidated. It was 19x larger than the March 2020 COVID crash and 12x larger than FTX. The trigger: Trump's surprise 100% tariff announcement on Chinese imports dropped late on a Friday, after US markets closed, with crypto wide open and thin liquidity.
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