Postaus

📊 Macro Watch: 30-year Treasury yield hits 5.27%—its highest level since 2007. JPMorgan now expects the Fed could hike rates as early as December, while raising its long-term Treasury yield forecasts, reinforcing the view that higher yields may persist. At the same time: 🛢️ Falling oil prices could ease inflation pressure. 💴 US-Japan currency coordination may influence Treasury demand without triggering large bond sales. For $BTC, the picture is mixed: 🔹 Short term: Higher Treasury yields increase the appeal of "risk-free" assets, creating headwinds for risk assets like Bitcoin. 🔹 Medium term: If persistently high rates begin to weaken economic growth or confidence in sovereign debt, demand for scarce, non-sovereign assets such as Bitcoin could strengthen over time. The 5.3% area on the 30-year Treasury may become one of the key macro levels to watch this month—not just for bonds, but for crypto as well. Macro matters. Watch liquidity, yields, and price action together. $BTC $ETH $SOL #30YrYieldTopOrStart #USJapanYenIntervention #EarningsWeekAhead