#ARB is in a weekly convergence pattern, and once it successfully breaks upward, the target for the rise is at 0.7625. But as I have always emphasized: analysis is static, while the market is dynamic. You can analyze the structure, but you can never predict whether the market will cooperate. Since I have already entered at a key position + key signal, the next operational logic is very simple: set the stop loss at 0.4820 and bet on whether the breakout is valid.
Taking #ARB as an example, although the rise today is quite strong, structurally it has only just returned to the bullish logic at the daily level, and cannot yet be considered the start of a new trend. This point is crucial because many people see a significant short-term increase and instinctively think the market is strong, fearing they will miss out. However, in practice, what truly determines the market's space and continuity is not how much it has risen, but whether the price structure has completed its transition. Once the structure is established, there is a foundation for the bulls to continue. Otherwise, even if it rises 20% or 30% in one go, it could be due to a rebound from the bottom, short covering, liquidity-driven movements, and other short-term forces, which cannot simply be understood as a trend being established. Therefore, when assessing the strength of the market, the order must be correct: first look at whether the structure has been established, then look at the magnitude of the performance, and do not get the priorities reversed.
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