Has the Crypto Bull Market Ended? Many followers have messaged me in panic asking this question. A crypto bull market usually ends when one of the following conditions is met: 1. Macro shift: the Fed pivots and the U.S. dollar enters a bull cycle; 2. $SPX enters a bear market; 3. After a buying frenzy in crypto, large-scale profit-taking takes place; 4. All expected positive catalysts have already been priced in; 5. A major policy black swan event occurs. Current situation: 1. Rate cuts have resumed, and Wall Street consensus is that the dollar will weaken over the next six months; 2. $SPX, after the March tariff-driven crash, is expected to continue the bull trend until mid-2026; 3. Crypto market sentiment is depressed, profit-taking is limited, and long-term holders have not distributed significantly; 4. Various altcoin ETFs, as well as favorable policies from the White House and SEC, are still pending; 5. The Trump family’s crypto holdings have not yet been fully distributed,...
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