Talk about some real insights, no altcoin season! ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Does everyone miss the past, the secondary market where hot topics and coins multiplied several times? Actually, it's not that you won't see it in the future, it just requires specific conditions. That is the rise of Bitcoin, why say this. Let's review the stages of this round of secondary altcoin explosion. First stage Bitcoin rose by about 90% from December 2022 to March 2023. December 2022, which is the time of my pinned content, belongs to the early bull market, the first hot season. Hot coins led by OP, SSV, and LDO had a rise of about 5 times. Second stage Bitcoin rose by 192% from September 2023 to January 2024. In this stage, secondary altcoins performed the craziest. Altcoins represented by SEI, WLD, OM, IMX pulled more than ten times. Third stage Bitcoin rose by 110% from September 2024 to January 2025. Altcoins represented by SUI and NEIRO pulled more than 5 times, while most altcoins were 2 to 3 times. From the above logic, it is not difficult to see that only when Bitcoin's rise is greater, the hot rise space of altcoins is higher. Currently, Bitcoin is at 94,000, how much more room do you think there is for growth? First, rule out doubling, I don't think Bitcoin will have such a large increase next, many driving conditions no longer support it, such as the water of interest rate cuts. Even if interest rates are cut, the strength is far less than in 2020 and 2021. The lack of liquidity will inevitably suppress the space above Bitcoin. The previous high of Bitcoin is around 110,000, assuming the big cake breaks through the pressure level of 97,000 and continues to around 110,000, the increase is only 17 points. So how big of a splash can altcoins make? According to my thinking, to have a big secondary market, either Bitcoin rises to a large space or falls to a large space. Otherwise, the secondary market cannot have big opportunities! So, watching more and moving less is the way to survive next.
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