diaMONd hand 💎
+40% profit from Coinbase's 1st presale.
@monad still has great potential.
want to see better performance in the future.
hey @waleswoosh, will we still have ico, ido szn?
ask my friend.

Is Monad "overvalued" by the community?
the community bought the public sale on @coinbase at fdv ≈ $2.5B.
pre-market is reflecting fdv ≈ $3.5B.
→ profit +40% before tge, despite the general market being very bad.
@monad's position compared to other L1s on tge ↓
• Aptos: ≈ $9B
• Sui: ≈ $9.4B
• Plasma: ≈ $8.7B
• Berachain: ≈ $5.9B
• Story Protocol: ≈ $1.95B
if ranked by fdv, @monad is in the upper middle.
not too cheap, but not touching the overhype group either.
circulating supply is the variable that completely changes the picture.
→ @monad only opened circulation of 10.8B $MON out of a total of 100B
→ circulating rate ≈ 10.8% at tge
this puts Monad in the low float group, similar to many large L1s that have tge before:
• Aptos ≈ 13%
• Sui ≈ 5.2%
• Plasma ≈ 18%
• Berachain ≈ 5%
Monad is in a reasonable circulation zone.
not too high to cause selling pressure, but not too low to the point of "virtual fdv".
using pre-market price $0.035 to estimate:
→ mcap on the first day ≈ 10.8B × $0.035 ≈ $378M mcap
this number is SIGNIFICANTLY lower than large L1 groups like Aptos or Sui.
fdv ≈ $3.5B is big in the crash market?
objective assessment:
(1) compared to Aptos, Sui, Plasma: Monad's FDV is still much lower
(2) with a float of 10.8%: this is a reasonable structure
(3) with an mcap of about $378M: Monad is being placed in the "mid cap L1" zone instead of "mega cap L1"
(4) with negative sentiment: the fact that the pre-market still holds a FDV of $3.5B shows that the cash flow is still expecting Monad's technological performance
(5) public-sale is making a profit of about 40% despite the market decline → bid-side signal is still good
summary
fdv $3.5B looks not small at first glance, but with a float of only 10.8%, this valuation is in a reasonable range for a high-performance L1 preparing for mainnet.
mcap of actual trading on the first day is expected to be around $378M → much lower than the previously listed L1.
this opens up space for strong price movements depending on the cash flow on the TGE day.
if the ecosystem attracts devs, users and stable staking, the current fdv level can completely maintain or expand.
looking forward to @keoneHD and @monad team.



why did I decide not to jeet $MON early?
(just my subjective opinion)
- Coinbase's 1st ICO project, it would be bad if it went below the selling price
- huge selling pressure from airdrop in the first few hours of listing, the team needs time to support the price
- i believe in monad's potential ecosystem
- mcap is only about $300M (although I know their fdv is about $2.5B) but I still want to bet
gMonad 💜
1,795
7
本页面内容由第三方提供。除非另有说明,欧易不是所引用文章的作者,也不对此类材料主张任何版权。该内容仅供参考,并不代表欧易观点,不作为任何形式的认可,也不应被视为投资建议或购买或出售数字资产的招揽。在使用生成式人工智能提供摘要或其他信息的情况下,此类人工智能生成的内容可能不准确或不一致。请阅读链接文章,了解更多详情和信息。欧易不对第三方网站上的内容负责。包含稳定币、NFTs 等在内的数字资产涉及较高程度的风险,其价值可能会产生较大波动。请根据自身财务状况,仔细考虑交易或持有数字资产是否适合您。

