Interesting take from Stani. I think there's more insight here than "monolithic lending market guy likes monolithic lending markets." The point he's making is that whether or not permissionless pools are isolated from a financial risk perspective in a modular lending market, they're not sufficiently isolated form a brand risk perspective.
If I were Euler or Morpho I would at least weigh the option of branding non-core markets differently.
But, I kind of disagree with the fundamental premise. Brand trust is important, but I actually think the financial realities are more important. E.g. more efficient liquidiations on @eulerfinance were a driving force behind extremely rapid growth. Most users don't care about that kind of incremental improvement in efficiency but the largest players do.
Because the sophistication of a player, how much they care about the details of financial structure, and their size at least broadly correlate, I think the best financial design is the most important thing -- that in the ultimate analysis the permissionless pools of modular lending protocols being isolated from a risk perspective is what matters.
Not that I'm not bullish Aave -- I am -- at some point some large player (probably a new player from TradFi) is going to be the first one to borrow $1B onchain and they will do that on Aave.
But, I think projects like Euler are going to continue seeing stronger growth because of superior financial design details made possible by their architecture.
DeFi lending lives and dies by trust. One of the biggest mistakes is trying to compare DeFi lending with AMM pools because they work in completely different ways.
Lending only works when people believe the markets are sound, that collateral is solid, risk parameters make sense, and the system as a whole is stable. Once that trust breaks, you get the onchain version of a bank run.
That’s why a model where anyone can spin up a vault permissionlessly and market it on the same platform has built-in weaknesses. Since most strategies are already commoditized, curators don’t have many ways to stand out. They either lower fees to the bone or take on more and more risk to attract capital from other pools.
At some point, one big failure could wipe out confidence across the space and set the whole industry back. The next Terra Luna moment will come from a reckless curator on an open platform.
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