Sound analysis by Moritz. No point in only giving tokens to locked megaeth participants
Also people who want to fud will fud. It’s either gonna be the “everyone will dump at tge” fud or the “unlocks are suppressing the price” fud
Seeing a lot of bad takes about the locked vs unlocked allocations from the MegaETH sale.
Locking your allocation will have WAY less impact on your final allocation than many here think.
A lot of people assume that because MegaETH could theoretically give the entire allocation to locked participants, the unlocked ones will barely get any.
First of all, the team was very clear in their communication that other factors (on-chain, social) are the main criteria.
Do you really think the team would invent such a complex system just to end up giving everything to locked allocs?
Second, saying that locking tokens is more bullish for the chart is short-term thinking.
Sure, there’s less sell pressure at TGE — but long-term, it’s way better to give 5% of the supply to the community at TGE than 5% a year later.
Let the people who want to dump, dump at TGE. That’s much better than everyone knowing and front-running that in a year a big chunk of supply will hit the market.
Lastly, there’s the math.
Roughly ~10% of total commitments are locked. Even if 20% of the total allocation went to locked participants, that bucket would already be getting more than double the allocation of the unlocked ones (on average). And that would already be quite generous in my opinion.
So don’t worry if you didn't lock your allocation. You will be fine.

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