在过去十年中,比特币年均复合增长率接近50%,在过去10年中有8年超越了主要股票指数。
但随着比特币的成熟,其长期增长可能会放缓。如果比特币未来以中十位数的年增长率复合,而传统股票基准继续保持高个位数的增长率,长期来看它仍会超越。
但并不是每一年。
在这种差距下,比特币在大约60-65%的年份中可能会超越广泛的股票指数,而不是我们习惯的80%。这就是数学的结果。
与此同时,股票指数不断重组,轮换进入最成功的公司。在货币扭曲的时期,股票往往会急剧重新定价,正如在魏玛德国、委内瑞拉或米莱前的阿根廷所见,股票比债券或现金更直接地反映了货币贬值。
这种变化对资产配置者很重要。
随着数字资产从边缘走向主流,各资产类别的增长率趋于一致,机会可能会转变:从把握周期和追逐杠杆,转向拥有那些构建、支持和货币化链上经济的公司。
这不仅包括基础设施(能源、计算、数据),还包括在其上方出现的应用程序:金融科技、支付和加密集成的电子商务。
这就是$NODE背后的理论:一个多元化的、资产支持的投资组合,提供跨这些领域的曝光,旨在以更少的波动性和更强的持久力捕捉与加密相关的上行潜力。
它不会引领每一次反弹。但我们相信,这一策略提供了一个引人注目的、未被充分探索的风险/回报,早期结果表明它正在发挥作用。
感谢您的信任 🤝.
I've spoken to many investors who want exposure to crypto via equities but are spooked, understandably, by portfolios full of pure-play miners and exchanges that have seen repeated blowups and bankruptcies.
If that sounds like you, we designed the VanEck Onchain Economy ETF (ticker: NODE) with you in mind.
NODE is an actively managed ETF that can hold global crypto ETPs up to a 25 percent weight, alongside companies with credible strategies to make or save money through bitcoin, digital assets, and the onchain economy.
The issue we’re trying to solve is managing downside volatility without losing exposure to the underlying growth drivers. Many pure-play stocks trade at two or even three times the volatility of bitcoin itself, driven by a combination of leverage, small market caps, and highly idiosyncratic business models. Historical data shows that adding bitcoin to these stocks has improved total returns and reduced overall portfolio risk. NODE will typically hold a core position in a regulated bitcoin ETF, providing clean exposure to BTC itself while allowing the rest of the portfolio to focus on compounding, correlation, and cash flow.
To complement this core, NODE holds both high-volatility pure-plays like miners and exchanges and lower-volatility sectors such as e-commerce, fintech, semiconductors, energy, infrastructure, and utilities. Each is selected based on measurable involvement in the onchain economy, whether through revenue, infrastructure, or strategic alignment.
These latter sectors can offer something critical: ballast. Many names here pay dividends, are less volatile, and can serve as risk-managing building blocks. In periods of stress or dislocation, that ballast can be jettisoned to lighten the load and take on more risk when a washout invites it.
Utilities in particular are starting to benefit from the same structural tailwinds that support bitcoin adoption, including pro-growth policy, more abundant energy, and a rethinking of the connection between energy and money. Combining these exposures may offer an appealing balance of offense and defense.
Companies across all 11 GICS sectors are now engaging with the onchain economy, expanding the opportunity set for equity investors and helping lay the groundwork for broader, more diversified crypto exposure.
We've designed NODE for investors who see the opportunity but want to maintain conviction through the cycle. We believe this thoughtful approach to portfolio construction can help investors stay the course, and we’d be honored to earn your trust.
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