thesis: the next wave of top prediction-market dapps will be chain-driven. > kalshi partnering with pyth is a big signal. they’re not just building regulated event markets anymore, they’re laying groundwork for on-chain compatibility. > abstract is shaping up as the consumer L2: myriad already gaining speed and cementing its reputation. > base has limitless, proving how far distribution + UX can go. coinbase’s reach also gives base real mainstream potential. however BRKT will be getting up there pretty soon. > hyperliquid still early, but opinionslabs is the standout and with HIP-3 live, expect a flood of new builds. > solana has not much going on rn. surprisingly, the only prediction market on solana that went insane during elections doing over $30M+ in volume was predictdotfun, and it’s now nowhere to be found. tons of potential on solana: low-latency, composable infra, and projects like drift’s event contracts + predictverse experimenting but no clear winner yet. > avalanche, sui, etc.. less PM native, but i believe the infra will catch up.