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Circle’s Q3 highlights a key distinction: growing stablecoin activity does not automatically mean higher reserve income.
Results released Nov 4 included:
• Total revenue and reserve income: $865M, up 17% YoY
• Net income from continuing operations: $226M, up 5%
• Adjusted EBITDA: $317M, up 85%
• USDC onchain transaction volume: $13.9T, up 49%
• Average USDC in circulation: $73.3B, up 8%
Reserve income fell 8% to $658M, mainly due to a 61 bps decline in the reserve return rate, partly offset by higher average USDC circulation.
Transaction volume measures activity, while balances and reserve yields help determine reserve income. More transfers do not automatically mean higher issuer earnings.
Other revenue reached $207M, including $182M from the ARC token presale. Circle attributed adjusted EBITDA growth to presale revenue and lower distribution costs, partly offset by increased investment in new products.
The presale contribution should be assessed separately from reserve income when evaluating earnings sustainability. This quarter’s revenue mix may not be repeated in future quarters.
Arc public mainnet launched Sept 16 with native USDC integration and 100+ institutional and ecosystem participants. Launch participation is a starting point; sustained activity will offer further evidence of adoption.
Payments expansion adds another perspective:
• Circle Payments Network: $41.3B in annualized payment volume
• Tazapay: over $25B in annualized payment volume, with local payout coverage across 100+ markets
These are payment-volume metrics, not revenue, and should not be added together as an already combined business. Circle’s proposed Tazapay acquisition is expected to close in 2027, subject to regulatory approvals.
The next test is whether payment adoption can support durable earnings as reserve yields and costs evolve.
Which matters most for Circle’s outlook: USDC circulation, reserve yields or payment adoption?
#CircleQ3USDCVolumeUp49%
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