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Crypto’s next catalyst may be sitting in an oil barrel. Brent jumped 3% to $108, the dollar index gained ~0.6%, and markets now price roughly a 90% chance of a Fed hike as Middle East tensions revive inflation fears. BTC still edged higher near $77.8K. Energy ↑ → inflation risk ↑ → rates ↑. That chain is now the market’s pressure point.