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Jackson king
🌟🌟🌟Fear and Greed Index 25🌟🌟🌟, but BTC hasn't dropped, which do you believe?
It's past midnight and I'm still refreshing the market, not because the market is exciting, but because I'm too bored to sleep.
BTC is at 65,100, fluctuating only a few hundred dollars over the weekend. But the Fear and Greed Index is 25—extreme fear. This combination is quite strange: people are this scared, yet the price is holding steady without collapsing.
This suggests two possibilities. Either fear has bottomed out, those who wanted to sell have already sold, and the rest are holding on stubbornly without plans to move. Or it's the calm before the storm, and the price hasn't yet reacted to the sentiment.
I used to believe "a low Fear and Greed Index is a buy-the-dip signal," but I jumped in when the index was 18 and kept buying down to 12. The index can tell you about sentiment, but not timing. It can stay in the fear zone for a month.
What’s more divided now is the funding rate. Across the network, it’s only 0.006%, almost zero. Longs are paying shorts, but very reluctantly—meaning those going long aren’t confident and are just holding on.
I checked open interest; 750,000 BTC contracts are still open. That’s a significant number. CPI data comes out in two days, and these 750,000 BTC positions are either making a lot or losing a lot—there’s no middle ground.
My thought is: fear + price not dropping = support, but it doesn’t mean a rise is coming. Wednesday’s CPI is the real trump card; before it’s revealed, all judgments are guesses.
"The market is indeed cheaper when fearful, but cheap doesn’t mean it will rise tomorrow—it can get cheaper."
I placed two orders: buy long at 63,800, chase if it breaks 65,300. No position in between; no rush.
Do you think a Fear and Greed Index of 25 is a buy-the-dip signal or a danger signal? $BTC $ETH #现货ETF资金回流,BTC与ETH能否接力? #AIMemorySelloffEases #BTCETHETFInflowsReturn #SpaceXShortCovering
Zastrzeżenie: Treść na OKX Orbiter ma charakter wyłącznie informacyjny. Dowiedz się więcej
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