Postingan

$BTC $ETH 7.30 Thursday Midday Market Analysis. The Federal Reserve's rate decision resulted in a rare 9-3 vote, with long-term Treasury yields rising on hawkish signals, causing a broad sell-off in tech stocks that rely on discounted future cash flows. Despite the heavy losses in the US stock market, BTC and ETH have shown relative resilience in this macroeconomic headwind, indicating that the market has better digested the rate hike expectations compared to traditional equities. Tonight's PCE data release will be a watershed moment for valuation adjustments. If the data is below expectations, upward pressure on long-term rates will ease, potentially giving tech stocks and crypto assets a brief respite. If the data exceeds expectations, long-term rates may surge further, intensifying the sell-off pressure on overvalued assets and challenging the safe-haven logic of crypto assets as liquidity-sensitive instruments. If the earnings support from giants like Microsoft is completely offset by macro liquidity tightening, market confidence in earnings defense will waver, shifting asset valuation logic from earnings-driven to purely interest rate sensitivity speculation. $BTC trading advice: Short at 64500, add positions at 65100 and 65700, stop loss above 66000, take profit between 63700-62500. ETH trading advice: Short between 1920-1950, stop loss at 2000, take profit between 1890-1850#Fed3Dissents #MSFTCutsCapex #SpaceX1.6BDeal