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Crypto Patel
Crypto Patel
FED HOLDS - RATE CUT TRADE IS DEAD Fed kept rates at 3.50%–3.75%. But Powell just killed the 2026 cut narrative. ▪️ Vote split 8-4, 3 dissents were HAWKISH ▪️ Powell staying as Governor till 2028 ▪️ Warsh takes over as Chair after May 15 ▪️ Inflation still running hot due to Iran war & oil prices Markets now price: ▪️ 0% chance of a cut by Dec 2026 ▪️ 44.5% odds of a HIKE by April 2027 Liquidity tailwind for BTC & Alts is fading. Watch: DXY, 10Y yields, BTC liquidity zones.
Crypto Patel
Crypto Patel
🇺🇸 FOMC Decision Today - Powell's Last Dance Schedule (ET): 🔹 Rate Decision → 2:00 PM 🔹 Powell Press Conference → 2:30 PM 🔹 IST → 11:30 PM / 12:00 AM Expected: Rates HOLD at 3.50%–3.75% (third straight pause). 100% priced in. Why it still matters: This is Powell's final FOMC before Kevin Warsh takes over in May. No SEP this meeting → every word in the presser is the signal. What to watch: ▪️ Tone on sticky inflation (CPI hot at 3.3%) ▪️ Energy shock from Iran war ▪️ Hints on June cut path ▪️ Powell's farewell guidance Crypto Impact: Hawkish tone → BTC/Alts dump Dovish tilt → risk-on rally Neutral → liquidity grab both sides Volatility window: 2:00 – 3:30 PM ET. Tight stops. Don't fade the wick.

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