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ARRIWYKS
ARRIWYKS
#NetflixQ3AdsAndMargins Looks like chances are slim that Netflix Q3 results will be higher tomorrow : What that means for Q3 2026: • Historical Q3 hit rate last 2 years = 0% up • Overall last 2 years = 28% chance up (2/7) • Market is super bearish going in, already down 25% YTD, 47% from June 2025 peak If Netflix beats on ad revenue + margin guiding 33.2% vs 28.2% yoy), that oversold setup could finally snap the losing streak. But based on trend alone, chance is low — maybe 25-30%.

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